The Philosophical LRSB-21 is rushing forward
in a race to production. The sooner it can be produced, the quicker Northrop
mitigates financial risks for the program, and the picture below may look
familiar.
Air Force Depiction of
LRSB-21, 2nd addition below:
B-2 Bomber First Edition Below:
Northrop will build on a
progression of success from its B-2 program. The philosophical part comes from
the Air Force interpretation for the builder does not go unnoticed. Since it is
not a sole improvement on a prior frame type, the fixed cost approach is thrown
out by the DOD. Since it isn't a blue sky program the Air Force won't go overboard with cost
plus on the LSRB-21. The current chosen philosophy by the Air Force allows a
nurturing program with guidance keen on watching costs. Runaway cost killed the
F-22 success and closed such a promising program down dead in its tracks with
only 182 operating in the service. The F-22 proved to be way ahead of its time
and place. The F-35 followed on and devoured the F-22 financial life out of it.
It currently remains at the cross road of survival having a LRSB-21 coming on.
Fortunately the LSRB-21 will remain on track, since it is governed by
the enormous dollars spent prior to its announcement. The KC-46, F-22, and F35
programs all have shaped the LRSB-21 current award process demonstrating an updated philosophical approach
for making a bomber.
An important pressure is applied on Northrop through an incentive idea using the carrot of efficient and effective production to delivery model. This is the
important as the award recognizes the tipping point against Boeing's bid.
Boeing did not have an operating new generation bomber in the service to draw
from, for its pursuit of an award. Northrup had a new bomber knowledge,
infrastructure, and delivery record for such an Air Force proposition.
The philosophical element evolving from recent program awards,
doomed any fresh off the design board notion without any prior working record supporting such an idea. This doomed
Boeing's attempt.
Northrop can only mitigate its risks for finishing with program
completeness, by bringing the LRSB-21 to operational status sooner rather than
later. Northop entry into service is a proven possibility through its B-2 proof of
concept now in service. The LRSB-21 looks so much like the B-2 that it tells a
story that Northrup is bringing forward everything it has learned from its prior
program and then adding ancillary new technological compliments to the LSRB
program. The Air Force liked the proposal as Northrup would make it more
probable the Air Force would get its number of LRSB's needed for replacing the
60 year old heavy bombers, the B-52.
Risk is mitigated going the Northrop way and the military could
not afford another F-22 experience nor could it experience a spiraling out of
control F-35 project. In fact the LSRB conceptual proposal did not have a former frame in which to
apply a fixed cost KC-46 approach.
The acquisition process evolved more by circumstance the military finds itself in, than going "Willie-Nillie" with a "Blue Sky" approach on any given project. The Air Force has to have a certainty within a bid process which will allow program completeness without breaking the treasury while going into infinity developing the bomber replacement. It had to find someone who could replace the bomber first, then find someone who had the know-how to build it advanced of fifth generation technology, and finally a company who had been incentivize for the awarding of the LSRB-21. Northrop-Grumman was such a company.
The acquisition process evolved more by circumstance the military finds itself in, than going "Willie-Nillie" with a "Blue Sky" approach on any given project. The Air Force has to have a certainty within a bid process which will allow program completeness without breaking the treasury while going into infinity developing the bomber replacement. It had to find someone who could replace the bomber first, then find someone who had the know-how to build it advanced of fifth generation technology, and finally a company who had been incentivize for the awarding of the LSRB-21. Northrop-Grumman was such a company.
No comments:
Post a Comment