Whether there is a hurricane or financial
problems, Boeing has exposed a vulnerability with its high minded goals. They
want to produce 12, 787 a month, straining suppliers and customers alike. In July
Boeing could only deliver eight of its 787. In August Boeing delivered another
eight. It’s already September 19, 2018, and the month only reveals four of its 787
delivered.
In total, since July first, Boeing has delivered
20 787's where a prorated pacing suggest it should have delivered at least
thirty 787's during this time span. There are 10 787's not delivered, suggesting
$2 billion in revenue missed since July 1, 2018. The
stockholders are getting nervous, the day traders are jumping around the
market like jumping beans.
A Chinese buyer has
reached a financial box and can't fund delivery on two more 787's. Supplier
problems arise in a seasonal fashion all that with Hurricane Florence. Boeing has reached
a perfect storm. Production is slowed to a walk instead of its usual run. Like
all convergences, it passes. Boeing will help solve its 787 supply chain hiccup
and a customer’s financial plight. Water does run downhill and Charleston once
again will have to spray for bug abatement after its swamps lose some
water. It will take Boeing until Christmas to make its own perfect storm to cease
and fair weather returns. The productivity lost will crawl back with a few
deliveries missing in action as it had predicted a robust production year. It now
appears it may deliver about four short of its goal by year's end.
Day trader alert, go
fishing until December 15, 2018, and then buy Boeing at year-end after all this
nonsense becomes a bad memory and someone on the top floor lost a bonus. That's
how the corporate world works, there are ludicrous bonuses at stake and a
position to continue holding until the golden parachute delivers near a top
floor window.
Boeing may delivery 17
units in a month but it needs several months in a row with 17 787'delivered to
make up ground before year's end. The Boeing plant parking lot could save the
day if enough airplanes store outside awaiting delivery. Delivery is at a
different pace than production and that's Boeing story and they are sticking to
it. The perfect storm is only a movie and Boeing is making movement happen.
They will still fall short but beat Airbus for this year's World's Largest
Airplane Maker Award. It happens and how you scrape it off is how you roll!
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