- Will Hainen find finances for its 787's that are ready for delivery?
- Can Boeing make 14 787 a month during October November, and December of 2018?
- Does Boeing have a packed parking lot of 787 at this moment?
So far Boeing has delivered 94 of its 787 far short of 144. More like 50 short of that number at this point. If Boeing gets its customer, Hainan Airlines, to have a delivery by end of September, the number will stack up like this. It has already delivered 6 out of 15 scheduled for September. It needs another 9 delivered by the end of the month for 15 total, and Hainan is the lynchpin. If it does occur, then Boeing has only to deliver in the next ninety days or so, another 41 787's by December 31, 2018.
If Boeing produces 14 a month through December it can meet its goal of 144 units delivered during 2018. A slightly lumpy production record suggests Boeing needs to drain its parking lot of 787's waiting for completion and delivery. The recent Hurricane Florence took a little momentum out of Boeing's sails but is just now getting back on its production track. Fourteen a month delivered is possible but unlikely.
Not having an actual parking lot count makes this a difficult call but judging by Everett and Charleston's current parking lot valet, it is safe to say Boeing has at least six frames awaiting customers not mentioned or named Hainan.
The chances of Boeing meeting these aggressive objectives is a fifty-fifty proposition. Given Boeing's capability, it is a do-able achievement, but given external haphazard conditions, Boeing is at a high risk of delivering only in the 130's rather than 144 787 units this year. Every day is worth watching the delivery numbers as the Boeing ship of production and delivery slowly gains speed. It has the ability to make its goal but time has narrowed the risk factors in it not achieving a fourteen a month delivery goal in the fourth quarter.
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