Corporate Cultural Attitude Smashes Supply and Demand Theorems

Back in the day when taking Econ 101, we learned about micro and macroeconomics. Somewhere in between the two topics up came the laws of supply and demand. However, the world industrial culture has changed and Boeing is that milestone which marks the changes of supply and demand laws.

If enough supply exists then prices drop. If enough demand exists then prices rise and a corporation can flourish under these models. What if supply and demand are no longer the theoretical engines which drive the market place and the Golden parachute replaces the laws of Supply and Demand? If that is true, then a MAX 737  happens. The balance sheet is no longer about the product but the corporation becomes just good enough, as the standard supporting retirement chain of growth for its execs. 

Decisions are made on both the 737 and 787 programs and possibly the up and coming 777X program.

The Golden retirement parachute holds the corporate high ground. If an airplane crashes while violating engineering laws of redundancy, then the money saved is plowed into someone's portfolio later on with a "who cares yawn". The 737 Max crashes are a model for corporate success thus violating the laws of supply and demand, but giving into a higher law of "just good enough", so a gold leaf parachute can be made for someone owning a mansion on Puget Sound.

Here comes the rub, future execs can expect dismal performances on its portfolios as Boeing comes back down to earth. The Golden Parachute will melt back to the old laws of supply and demand. Boeing execs just don't care at this time while "quality management" is the sacrifice for this sentiment. Debris found on completed aircraft; having single sensor technology, or using programming falling short of just good enough are the results. Boeing is taking a hard landing at this time and factory workers and its passengers are the victims emanating out of this new corporate culture super ceding supply and demand.

King 5 photo Boeing demand is frozen

737's parked as Boeing demand struggles to await its fixes and approvals.

Financial times photo

Airbus cannot supply fast enough for its demand.

The laws of supply and demand are now split between two giant aircraft makers. A supply sided Boeing and a demand strapped Airbus. Boeing executives are floating down from making just good enough mistakes with its key product in order to squeeze more post position income for themselves. 

They just don't care and they also think it's not my job to fix what the corporate culture gave them. If you think Airbus has escaped this quagmire then an observer is mistaken. Airbus has had a string of fortunate luck with its product and is not facing the same type of press Boeing experiences today emerging out of everything Boeing. Regulatory agencies are seeking higher ground as they have failed to do their job in the first place. Agencies have let the fox guard the chicken coop and now Boeing is getting a thorough beating for its corporate culture troubles. It wasn't good enough! Please cancel your dividends on the way out the Boeing big doors.

I Made It

Toughest way to lose weight is surgery.

One More Time and Then Jello For Lunch

Another surgery # ??? Hope to see you all later in the Blogosphere. Bless you, for following. I'll say something later if able otherwise enjoy the collective insight offered from this site since 2012. 

Is June 26, 2019 The 777X First Flight?

After a little sleuthing, it occurred to me that 777X's first flight could be next Wednesday, June 26, 2019!!!! Why ????

Try this Link;

Boeing 777X expected to fly on June 26, according to Emirates Airline president

and then this:

May 29, 2019, Reuters

Hey, what about the GE9X engine problems found in testing?

An engine  "part" wore abnormally after thousands of hours under engine distress. Other than that the engine met expectations. So the part fix will come by the end of the year while a lot of experts expect a 777X delay from this issue.

Not so fast my friend yesterday the 777X ran a runway test with GE9X engines.

Typically those kinds of tests come a week before first flight. A planeload of 777X engineers was onboard to measure everything 777X under the full engine power and full braking all day long! Just watch and smile when saying on June 26th, 2019. The 777X test vomit comet is ready to fly!

First Flight, yeah, and the press won't be there!

Middle Of Grounding 737 Max MoG

Since March 2019 the 737 Max has been grounded and parked. When airlines get excited about getting Max back in the air, I get excited. Air Canada the Max engine placement forward looks to get the Max flying at the end of summer, the earliest, and no later than October of 2019. Mark your Max calendar about September 20th, 2019 as a reasonable time frame for a return to the air for the 737 Max.

Some may even be quoted as saying the Max is becoming the world' safest aircraft given all this scrutiny. The inspectors, like FAA, are looking at everything and not just the MCAS system which is blamed for the two 737 Max crashes. The angle of attack is greatly affected by its engine placement and a propensity to stall since the center of the airplane gravity has moved forward from its forward engine placement.

Computer software kept Max from stalling with only one sensor in play. If the sensor was not functioning properly bad data went to the computer pushing its nose down while gaining speed to avoid stalling. Pilots who thought they were in control pulled up and saw speed indications were at maximum speed for the aircraft. The computer drove the aircraft downward while pilots could not solve a problem they had no training in. The Max just crashed at maximum speed into the earth/water. The computer allowed the pilots some upward mobility but then overrode pilot inputs until it crashed as the reports seem to document.

The solution is reported three fold but it is important to know there will be two sensors that must always function, agree and can be overridden by the pilot via switching off MCAS functions. The pilot is given ultimate control of the aircraft under all MCAS conditions at any time. The preventable stalling situation is only assisting pilots by its MCAS and adding new indicators informing the pilot of the aircraft flying conditions. MCAS will keep the MAX in flying balance but not fly the airplane. Boeing overbuilt and under built MCAS at the same time causing the crashes. It wouldn't let go of control when the one sensor it depended on failed. It overrode pilot control for a system or condition which didn't exist on the aircraft. It always was flying fast enough and there was no stall occurring. The aircraft didn't have a chance because a monstrous system was unchecked.

The outcome will be a thorough vetting of the Max making it the safest airplane humans can build from all the checking and changing that has occurred. It will be the first "world airplane" scrutinized by every world agency signing off on its airworthiness. The A320 will not of had this much testing, nor Embraer or a Bombardier. The 737 Max should fly with extreme confidence during 2019. Its been about 90 days since grounding and it will be another ninety-days before its return to service. It's the Middle of Grounding (MoG).

A strategy Of Iranian Implosion vs Explosion

The Us stepped back today and did not strike Iran for its shoot down of an American unmanned drone. The US has shifted strategy on Iran at the last moment. Let Iran implode and not explode under its own weight of insanity. Economic sanction in place and added measures will make Iran a society of Top Ramen noodles instead of Chicken rice pilaf.

Trump did not want Iranians to die for the sake of an unmanned drone shot down.

Instead, what is now learned is a bullet is now chambered for Iranian mishaps in its judgment.

If a tanker is struck or attacked or another US military asset is destroyed by Iran there should be Iranian loss of life for these misdeeds. Notice has been served it's up to Iran what happens next and has become Trump's position on the matter.

Rashness from Trump was abated in this last event from a drone downing as he pulled back 10 minutes before an American air strike was launched. Trump's already in place duel strategy of "exploding" or "imploding" gave way to implode. Iran will collapse as the nation suffers economic despair for its misdeeds. The handwriting is already on the wall and its people regardless of a religious bent is more deadly than an unweaponized US drone flying over water in the Arabian Gulf.

Iran can implode and the US can wash its hands from this demolition of an errant or rogue nation. The people of Iran should worry and take control of its own security away from Iranian ner-do' wells having a righteous cause for the reason for troublemaking. Imploding is the Iranian bomb. 

Pondering War With Iran

Will Iran collapse under its own weight and no shot will be fired? Or does the US Just intensify its military maneuverings? Both are probably true.

• For Trump to go all-in, he needs a US casualty and not a manless drone shot down.
• Trump needs prominent allies publically behind him before making an Iranian incursion.    (having Great Britain, India, and Saudi Arabia say go for it all at once is needed).
• Trump needs Iran to attack anything that resonates with American citizens at home.

• Iran needs to economically hang on for another Year.
• Iran must not allow its pride to pull the war switch.
• Iran doesn't have the chops to win a war with the US but can gain style points in the world court of opinion if it loses badly to the US.

What will happen is already happening, the CIA, Israel, and others are cutting the head of the Iran snake off and then looking like a victim. Just wait, Kharg island will blow-up one day and somebody will say, "oops, it wasn't me". No Iranian oil for ten years going to Russia and an Iranian economic collapse will happen not affecting the G-20 members since Iranian oil is not in its collective play. The world has enough non-Iranian oil at this time. Sorry, China and Russia or maybe North Korea will have to scramble. No war please, just mishaps!

Does Cancelling Turkey's F-35 Mean It is Not A Turkey?

The F-35 must really work well. That is why the US has canceled the US/Turkey F-35 program. It really works and Isreal objects to Turkey owing any of its types. The S-400 Russian deal is just a subterfuge to the real deal.  Turkey must have an F-35 and the US going way out of its sales momentum for its program sold Turkey the jet, even at all! 

Now it has backed out because its NATO partners object, "you can't have the S-400 and F-35 at the same time". 

The US already has the S-400 figured out. It is a potential risk that can be mitigated by missiles and space coordination.

Turkey almost pulled a fast one over the US's need for greed from selling procurement before it knew how the F-35 would become so key to American defenses. The F-35 is a controlled military substance and Turkey in a country dealing from a street corner.

Making A 797: Solves The Max Problem

If Boeing were to announce at Paris it will go forward with the 797 and fix the Max as a stop gap measure the 797, then makes more sense. Boeing bought Embraer and is now cornering the single-aisle market from that facet. The 797 could reach back to 200 seats supplanting the 737 Max 8, 9 and 10. Then it may go transcontinental with an upscale 797 while making the last of the 737 over the next 10 years. I look to see Boeing announcing the 797 at this years Paris Airshow in light of the Airbus announcement of the A320 XLR type. Airbus will momentarily seize the show with an announcement for a long-range single-aisle but in five years?

However, a bridge-building 797 covering the apparent aviation gap with twin aisles could stymy Airbus into a rethink of its aviation tactics concerning Boeing. A 797 twin-aisle would make commuting 3,000 miles a delight over any single-aisle considerations. An Embraer 150 seat single aisle could do a yeoman's duty at the single-aisle end of the market over the next five years. Embraer could build from 75 seats to 150 seat aircraft at this time and Boeing could sweep back the Market with a twin-aisle 200-270 seat aircraft which would fly over 4,500 miles, thus nullifying Airbus offering. Boeing could convert all those 737 Max 8 orders into 797-8 orders offering twin-aisle comfort, something Boeing has lacked during this century with its 737 families of aircraft. The flow would follow a naming convention e-jets from #175 to #200 and then the Boeing 797. The Max folds into a Boeing strategy of change erasing passenger memory over the Max crashes.

The 797 could sell over 5,000 units if it stretches back into the Max saga of aircraft starting with 175 seats going upward to 270 and then beating the A321XLR in any contest on seats and distance. Boeing would regain the comfort king title once again and still remain efficient at the same time. Embraer could sell 2,000 units and Boeing would bridge aviation's gap with 7,000 aircraft combined when entering the market place over the next ten years. The question would become, Max who? That is what Boeing needs for getting past its own big feet it finds itself stumbling upon. Does Boeing have the courage to reconfigure its line of aircraft? If it doesn't show courage for change then it will die an unsightly death and leave the world pondering about Airbus.

777X Completes The 777 Promise

When the 777-300ER came out in 1994 it promised a change in aviation's quest of a perfect blend of performance and value. It delivered. Now the 777X comes with 787 attributes and 777 visions for that initial aircraft. It has folding wings made of composite material and a wider body due to thinner outside walls engineered. It will fly up to 400 or more customers going over 7,000 miles with a 15% efficiency gain. After building 1,400 plus 777's a winning hand is presented to its customers across the globe. The natural outcome would be to replace the 1,400 777's with 1,400 777X's over the next 15 years. 

There will always be the Airbus A350-1000 crowd because of deal-making and commonality considerations but the 777X is set to rule aviation's traveling customers. A quieter engine with more technological improvement because of the 787 progress, suggests the 777X will meet its promise of changing the aviation world. The 777X will be a natural replacement for the much loved A380 just from its efficiencies, but it also will have A380 like space for its passengers. A double deck becomes more of a novelty than a functioning attribute. The 777X will fold in nicely into all A380 airport expansion slots. The 500 passenger capacity of the A380 is hard to fill at this time for traveling pairs of cities. The 777X makes more sense at 400 passengers. 

Even though Boeing has sold about 356 777X's it will most insistently sell double that amount after it enters service in 2020. The engine delay from GE is a lesson learned from the 787 programs. "Make it right", is more important to a company's future than just making it fast. Boeing is showing it can wait for it through the 777X program. Even though it will not have first flight by June 26, 2019, it will fly the first time before 2020. It may make first delivery during 2020. It all depends on getting right rather than just getting it. It will sell another hundred of its type before first delivery. 

Boeing's New Strategy

Since the Max program was found severally flawed, Boeing has pivoted towards its widebody offering until an all-clear signal is sent from its single-aisle offering, which may fly once again going to the next big airshow after Paris. Boeing has pivoted towards its 787 and 777X models, which it has been working within the market place over the last six months. Expect a few surprising announcements at Paris this year from Boeing. Maybe another 20 777X or 20 787's will be offered up at the center announcing stage, but it has feinted towards featuring its innovation over sales announcements at this year's airshow. Therefore, Boeing's pivot is an attempt to seamlessly move its game over the market board by quietly ignoring the single-aisle segment at this year's Airshow. My unofficial prediction is for about $7 billion in Boeing aircraft sales. 

Stratolaunch is a metaphor for Boeing Strategy of "Big"

Airbus should crush the single-aisle segment with over 100 A320's/A321's totaling around $10 billion US. It will also add another half dozen A350's from all classes for another $2 billion in sales, totaling a show-stopping $12 billion in sales. Yes, Boeing is going to lose this year's show in total sales but will its pivot to innovation and widebody work? 

Five years out will give the hindsight analysis on this question. At which time the Max will have flown again and a new single-aisle is on the board with taller landing gears, better engine configuration, and more assembly efficiency found within its frame. 2025 writes the advent of a new "737" announcement during the same time the 797 enters service. A new Boeing single-aisle will offer congruency with the 797 progressions. If a pilot flies a "new" single-aisle it can also fly a 787 as well, with little preparation for learning its capabilities and nature.

Boeing's new strategy is doing what it does best and the 737 is under "fix" mode in the meantime. Long ago it had lined out a strategy for bracketing Airbus offering in a model by model box between the 787 and 777 models. The A350-1000 or 2000 won't approach the 777X family of aircraft and the 787-9 is a mini Jumbo filling the long and thin distance niche airlines require.  Boeing may have trapped Airbus in a development quagmire using the 777 300ER frames as the basis for the next great airplane found in the 777X. Once the GE engine is matriculated from development hell it can and will outdo anything Airbus can offer from Rolls Royce. The English engine maker has fallen ten years behind GE.

Airbus is married to Rolls out of Euro loyalties and a GE powered Boeing will dominate going forward. Rolls can only do too little with a too much goal. GE is just now refining what Rolls is dreaming about with its engine offering. Boeing's strategy has gone big again.

The Daily Turkey Roast

It is well known about Turkey's insistence on buying Russian made S-400 missiles in the face of purchasing 100 or so US made F-35's. Turkey may have biffed it for itself but it also has made itself more reliant on external sources to military equipment by adding Russia to its list of military sources than just NATO or the USA. Turkey is independent but I get that and respect its solidarity for its independence when it bought the S-400 missile system from Russia.



Let's be honest since major powers put honesty as an indefensible point of its attack for any sensible defense, huh? There is no comparison between having an S-400 or an F-35 wing in its arsenal. The F-35 wins this trade-off in spades over the S-400. The only consolation prize is the costs savings after dropping the F-35 purchase and buying a cheaper Russian missile system in its place. Turkey cannot afford "American made" military-industrial complex products. Turkey won't be buying a Virginia Class submarine either for entering the Black Sea.

Turkey is a minor league military power and should not be buying major league pieces to dot its defensive board. The US loses because it has priced itself out of the third world military axis of powers. Russia meets the Turkey market place pricing scheme. The US may not have offered Turkey enough of a subsidy for Turkey to buy an F-35 system. Therefore, Turkey went to the bargain basement and bought the S-400. The US is too expensive for the likes of Turkey even though Turkey had built a strong technology industrial source for everything tech, hence the F-35 program participation. Turkey builds 900 plus parts for the F-35. The US is rapidly switching out F-35 parts sources that are not labeled, "made in Turkey".

Turkey was a partner for the money of it and it has now chosen something it can afford but in doing so it has given up the supporting the F-35 money footprint since it will not be making F-35 technology (parts) at all or so it seems. Russian S-400 parts making would not be able to replace the loss of the F-35 program over the long run. Turkey is just being a third world poser as it should. Therefore, the US should have acted accordingly and sold turkey more F-15Xs than offering the F-35 in the first place.

Turkey will talk to Russia about buying the Russian 5th gen fighter SU-57. It will want to offer a Su-57 parts contribution to that program not unlike what it had done with the F-35 program before it bought the Russian made S-400. So a recap of the SU-57 program is needed. It is airshow worthy. About a dozen of them exists at this time. What is known about them is a typical Russian overestimated effort for its excellence. The F-35 is no Su-57 because the F-35 is technologically better. India gave up on trying to partner with Russia on the Su-57 program. There will be a Turkish Su-57 hanger for three flying copies. One will eventually crash. NATO will use this opportunity to play the US for more stuff.

Now on this side of the planet, The US has more than a Patriot missile system to offer. Even though a Patriot label represents the most advanced missile system in the world, there is something more advanced having a Patriot label glued on it. The US has had too much time on its hands since the first Patriot system was first deployed. It stands to reason the US has a trump card to play in its arsenal but it won't sell that card to anyone as it is part of its national defense policy. Don't know what it is called and the name doesn't matter at this time. The theories do abound on what the US does have but it best speculated using assumptions with a range of capability from a winged drone to a hypersonic missile with all the bells and whistles. Russia and China are working on both and brag they have it today even though they are years behind what the US has. Why this is so? Because if it isn't we are in deep do-do. 

Proven concepts are in place waiting for productions orders. Boeing, Lockheed, and Northrup have a space ready to make "rain" happen. Satellites, HARRP, and lasers are not even calculated at this time. The more you know the more Turkey becomes a third world military complex. The F-35 was too expensive for them even holding techno parts contracts that are currently producing parts with which will come to a close shortly. The US is hoping to get its Turkey production replacements in place over the next six months into the F-35 supply chain.

Concluding, the Turkey F-35 withdrawal establishes a Geopolitical change has occurred and Turkey has become US baggage as it became a casualty of power. Mediterranean food is excellent and Turkey remains a great place to visit if enough money is spent. Turkey will host itself in the shine of coinage.

A 797 will Change the Travel Culture

Carry-on luggage is the key here. The 797 is designed for customers to wheel on something in the 15 KG realm using a simple lifting effort. Gone will be the anxious wait for luggage back in the terminal luggage turnstile. The 797 overhead bins will just be large and engineered to drop into the face of a boarding passenger giving it a  convenient position. A passenger who is only 5" plus tall and 90 pounds may heft a larger carry-on than what is now allowed, while slinging the end of the bag, case or backpack, catching the edge of the bin and then sliding the carry on into its depths. Passengers already seated should just stay seated assuming its bag has already been stowed above. However, having a three day supply of stuff for a trip matches well with those conferences we all love to adore. For the small in stature, a cleverly engineered interior should be able to accommodate the vertically challenged or muscleless traveler.

A United Airlines carry on has a restriction for size is 9 X 14x 22 inches a 797 bin could go an inch higher all around the dimension metric. Maybe just enough for the third day of clothes and a laptop computer to boot. Why? The 797 will have seven seats across and more storage space than a 787 jetliner.

Current overhead bin limitation

An inch here and an inch there, then viola you make it to Friday on a Monday night departure when traveling on the company's travel budget. Just have wheels and a lifting handle on the bag and get one end to the overhead bin edge with the other on your shoulder and shove. Unloading could be controlled easily by pulling a well placed strapped handle on the bag and then the second freehand catches the bag before it konks somebody's head below. Don't overload or make it heavy that would be rude creating an obnoxious hazard for others. The carry on bin will rotate upward to the higher ceiling in a power-assisted swing controlled by the flight attendant. Isn't it grand to design the passenger space with more room to play with?

If Cebu Air (Philippines) Buys the 787 Then,

There is more than meets the eye. The 797 may be in play with a fleet renewal bid by Boeing. Cebu already has the A320 and 8 of the older A330's in its stable putting Boeing on its heels in this bid process. The 330 Neo can meet fuel efficiency goals Cebu may have but the 787 family offers more flexibility for customers through 787 8's -10's. If the 797 is in play there enough lead time for the Boeing manufacturer to slide more 787's into Cebu's growth expansion and still optimize a fleet renewal plan after 2025 with 797's replacing any A320 in a one for one basis starting in 2026 as an example.

It isn't so certain what Cebu Air will do as it ponders Airbus and Boeing proposals for its fleet. If Cebu Air goes 787 then expect follow-on orders pinning the 797 to fleet renewal and expansion. 


Cebu has this fleet:

• 32 A320's 6 years old
• 8   A321's 1 year old 
• 8 A330's    4.5 year's old, order 8 new A330's

No Boeing product in its fleet;

What could a Boeing counter do?

• 8 787 -9's/10's by 2025 with options
• 12 797's by 2030 with options

This dichotomy of Boeing orders would bend the Airbus fleet outward from Cebu Air's hangers, providing a rebuttal that does not include the 737 Max. Because the 737 Max is in limbo until regulatory agencies resolve the Max issue, the 737 Max is a nonstarter and Boeing has to approach a customer with a 797 model sooner, rather than later. At this time, timing is everything for the makers and Cebu Air has both makers by the wing struts when hoping for a slam dunk order. It looks like it's tipping in Airbus' direction for this order. Even though the A350 is too big and the A330 NEO is not as efficient as the 787 families. The breaking point for Boeing is once again, the 737 Max as a nonstarter. Watch for the Cebu Air order breakout and then analyze what it means for Boeing for a trend indicator.

Provisionally Speaking, The 777X Has A June 21 Date For First Flight

O Simple Flying has come out with some timeline points for the 777X first flight and other 777X stuff. Kudos for O Simple Flying!

The June 21, 2019 date for the first flight of the 777X is a provisional date, but Boeing should make the date. The only thing that may hold the first flight into July would be Max 737 issues that may have infected the 777X program or a 737 Max draw of Boeing resources away from the 777X program when fixing the 737.

This is a much-looked forward event and has not formed up with its media look at this time. The meeting remains open whether Boeing invites a full public blowout or it will keep the first flight of the 777X close to its vest out of fear that something may go wrong in light of the 737 Max crashes.

Those accidents or mishaps as often remarked, has changed how Boeing structures its fanfare close to those recent 737 Max incidences. I would like to see significant 737 Max progress reported, for a return to flight, coupled with the 777X first flight event.

It is what's necessary if Boeing hopes to regain some public face after these two epic fails from its new single-aisle aircraft. Confidence has been lost but confidence can be regained with the 777X first flight. 

If the 777X first flight creeps into July, then the 737 Max situation would be a strained responsibility towards requiring a later first flight date of the 777X. Boeing is hesitant towards first flight until after checking three times that it will be a success. However, the provisional date of June 21, 2019, for the first 777X flight, represents an exhaustive review of the 777X program milestones.

A June 21 first flight date tells more about Boeing from many levels, it is ready for its counter-offensive in the aviation world, the 737 Max program has returned to stability and the 777X will fly.

Boeing Max Physics DH=Momentum

When D=dick and H=head a momentum forms the decision-making paradigm which ignores common sense and thus allowing top-down decisions bypassing engineering sense but enhancing parachute performance that floats above sense equaling Boeing's single most important question Why? 

An Idea, "Wet Lease the F-35 To Turkey"

The US and Turkey have found themselves in a diplomatic conundrum. If Turkey buys the S-400 missile system the US cancels the F-35 from Turkey, thus diminishing the American footprint in the region and so forth.

However, wet leashing the F-35 may protect the F-35 in Turkey when certain conditions are met. A wet lease is taking equipment in without a purchase and it requires the equipment leashed to be fully manned or staffed for its operations by the lessor, or in this case the US.

Turkey gets its 100 F-35's while the US maintains its property out of the country but in Turkish airspace. A wet lease is defined as:

"Wet lease. A wet lease is a leasing arrangement whereby one airline (the lessor) provides an aircraft, complete crew, maintenance, and insurance (ACMI) to another airline or other type of business acting as a broker of air travel (the lessee), which pays by hours operated.

However, a military term could be written-in, by having the lessor, maintaining complete control of the property while under the military control of the lessee, Every time an F-35 flies and is painted by an S-400 missile system suggest a study is being conducted on the F-35, the US could "deactivate" such a system since it is an implied a threat to wet-leased F-35's

Harsh yes, but the reality is demonstrated how vulnerable program secrets are held while the lessor insures its "proprietary secrets". In this case, Turkey has the F-35 asset but can not expose its secrets while defending Turkeys airspace in peacetime and is allowed to strategically protect its region in wartime The lessor through a "wet lease" protects and manages the asset against loss of its advanced secrets. Who would man the F-35? Why the US military as it would supply the crew for such an endeavor as NATO partner. Practical No! and that is the point of the s-400 missile system. It is consistent with Turkey's prior treaty commitment with NATO.

A wet lease suggestion points how ridiculous is Turkey's buy of the S-400 missile system from Russia. It is falling from any sound decision making and all that is left to fall is Erdogan's pride.

F-35 Is Moving From Dodge Ball To Base Ball

In keeping with springtime, the baseball season is upon us. The F-35 is not a premium dogfighter in an airshow capacity. It is an overachiever in an MIT sense. It just out thinks its adversaries. "You can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear", so goes the saying. The F-35 is improved not from an acrobatic perspective but with a "dirty harry" type of 44 magnums called Sidekick. It is a rack that fits internally to the F-35's weapons bay, adding two more missiles to its armament. "Make my day" to the juggler, utters the F-35 pilot. 

Defense Connect

Do a double gainer inside reverse move and I'll shoot before you can dazzle. Side Kick brings extra punch to the fight enhancing the stand-off capability with two extra missiles under the cloak of stealth. 

Enhancing the F-35 does not include more aerobatics or speed but it uses what it's given, more options for the supercomputer bolted onboard. 

The F-35 has the horsepower for the additional weapons stored inside on a sidekick rack. Those aerobatic tricksters are already dead if vectoring left or right 50 miles from an F-35. Dogfight? I see "no stinking dogfights",  painted on the side of the F-35 in this picture. If there is a dogfight then training failed for the pilot of an F-35 when getting that close to a SU 57. 

Expect no aerobatic enhancements going forward with the F-35. Expect weapons added like a laser or a longer range AA missile and some more satellite programming.

Has The F-35 Become a Cultural Thing For Canada?

Canada has long wanted a replacement for its aging CF-18, an old version of its primary fighter model. The conservative party a long ago set up the F-35 to be the CF-18's successor. Then a culture change occurred in Canada. It voted a Liberal Trudeau into power who immediately sided with a populist bent of having an "open" fighter competition amongst the worldwide manufacturers of such aircraft. 

Sounds reasonable but this is a contest for the defense of Canada, not a marketing campaign! Trudeau wanted a good profile photo shot in the newspapers so he tweaked the marketing blitz for a new fighter that made it difficult for those he did not want to be rewarded with a solid Canadian dollar contract. Hence Boeing and Lockheed had trouble and the Euro groups found the door ajar in the Canadian do-over round for a new fighter bid.

The Canadian culture shifted when it elected Trudeau its leader, and now the liberal forces are holding his stances to the fire from the promises he made when wanting to own the Canadian power grid. The F-35 would not come to Canada! The Lockheed product was a synonym term for conservative ideology.

"Canada is out for just wanting independence from its owns cultural skin and wanted nothing to do with the F-35 concept," implied Trudeau. 

Meanwhile back at the big Ottawa barn, The CF-18 got a little older, and Canada became less, rather than greater defending itself. The problems of the F-35 progress became the reminder that Trudeau may know what he is doing when in fact it is just his plain dumb luck. The Canadian culture will live to fight another day but will they win? Having bangers could turn into Caviar overnight and that's just the tundra part of Canada. 


Polar bears become more endangered because of the indefensible liberal policy of having the same "I don't care attitude" towards nature as a conquering adversary to the west of Alaska threatens Canada with Caviar. The US has not often shown compassion for Canadian Culture. There are no Canadian drive-through restaurants in the US as one big example. Russia doesn't care, it just wants expansion over the northern tier of the globe. It already has half of the northern tier from the Polar bear perspective. Ice is Ice and Oh Canada is losing Ice faster than the Siberian express and the Polar bears are starving near the Hudson Bay, "so let's buy the Euro fighters" to save the bears from Russia! 

Spoken like a true Canadian eco-hugger. Yes, the culture has changed in Canada and has its thought patterns. "So we'll have a luxury tax affixed to thoughts with a Canadian dollar value to boot. The F-35 after-all is an American idea and its south of Canada.

The Canadian culture has no intention of selecting the F-35 for its CF-replacement. Lockheed tried to make it Canadian by installing a business footprint in Canada with $700 US millions in spending. Boeing complained about Bombardier deals with Airbus and it cost them a cultural way out from Canada so far, the Canadian sentiment bought 20-year-old F-18's from Australia to replace Canadian 25-year-old C-18's like some kind of strategic move that would make Polar Bears safer. Once again, Canadian cultural thinking rose to the top of the heap at the bear dump near Hudson Bay.

After carefully thinking through the Canadian decision-making paradigm, I came to these bullets points. Everyone who is anyone knows bullet points makes the writer look smarter and its really neat in a Canadian kind of way to include them.

Here are a few points at the bottom for your quick thinking urge:

• Critical Thinking is not a degree program in Canada
• The F-35 costs were quoted in US dollars
• A 25-year-old F-18 from Australia is better than  a 25-year-old CF 18 it replaces in Canada
• There are no Canadian food take-outs in the USA
• Polar Bears are endangered from Critical Canadian Thinking
• A CCT scan does not exist North of Detroit or Wisconsin, "we think!!"
• Trudeau is Canada's leader, thus he preserves Canada's new culture.
• And finally, French-speaking made for a successful Canadian Beaver trade over the last 200 years.

Is the F-35 the answer, "no", the answer comes long after the last ice age.

Wack-A-Mole vs ISIS Resurgence

ISIS has just lost its last physical ground station in Syria, hence the map of occupation in the region has changed in favor of the allied forces. What will ISIS do as it no longer "owns" turf unique to its purpose? The US will remain frustrated as the scattered units of former ISIS organized bands resemble gang like units of retribution on innocent people who happened to live in ISIS harm's way. The US and its allies have a long time to think this problem through.

There are millions of households in the region and many of them have varying degrees of loyal ISIS fighters living in them. The new occupational area of ISIS is defined by when and where enforcement is lacking, and sometimes rearing its ugly head up in a world controlled by organized military doctrine. How will the organized fare against the gangs,  individuals or ISIS "sleepers" who lay in wait for opportunity without the fear of one's own loss of life? Treating it like an urban gang suppression is simplistic. Going after every household in some kind of shakedown becomes a drain on resources that will bound an organized government which settles into a quagmire which it will never escape The solution is complex and the virus is embedded into our planet.

 The game of whack-a-mole is a never-ending pursuit of insanity. Spraying a Round-Up like substance on the lawn kills everything and is not a solution to the problem. Elimination of religions is a fool's errand. Behavioral science has more merit as a weapon than cluster bombs. Learning to get along without shoving a bias down another throat is the goal. Religion becomes a by-product. 

Doing God's work on earth by killing unbelievers insults God's power over humankind. God does not need men to do his work. He created us in the first place and insulting the creator by killing his creation is a flawed idea. Talking terrorist down from the piety of a Jihad is a difficult road. The human spirit and mind can become shattered easily. 

Christianity has a lot to account for and crawling up stone steps before an assigned location for God is just as ridiculous as someone walking around a big box in some secluded location on earth thinking it is pleasing religious angst against humanity. Religion can be a solution but proving righteous by eliminating your neighbor is not the answer. Those with faith are on the right path but paying attention to another's belief and acting on behalf of God exposes a lack of trust in our creator to do the right thing for mankind.

No matter how much one rationalizes about taking the initiative for destroying evil using religious belief, the only target should be in yourself needing destruction of a superior ego. Blowing yourself up with others around you who may be both be a believer or an unbeliever fails to impress God at all. The solution for this war of terrorism does not have a religious solution as a group. It comes from a solution from within yourself, one person at a time.

If you don't have a belief then look inside yourself for a position to take before killing others. No matter what religious simulation one takes the basic life axioms to emerge on the same page of life. Existing is God's plan whether, for good or evil, God will solve man's problems. 

The military cannot change one life at a time with a bullet because other lives spring up from that example hating everything that a military represents. It is a very long road changing one life at a time but it is also exponential growth in its progress when measured against the beginning of acceptance for human flaws in comparison to one's own belief.

Su-57 and Turkey

Now that Turkey has sealed a deal with Russia for S-400 missiles it now approaches Turkey with a yet incomplete Su-57 advanced fighter jet. Knowing how difficult it is to bring a program to maturation as the F-35 continues to be plagued with lack of spare parts and wear and tear concerns the SU-57 has a more dubious pedigree to follow. Can Russia make the Su-57 whole in its respective economic environment?

The historical graph for Russian sustainability shows a bumpy line instead of a straight line its customers would hope to have for its forces. Turkey will buy the S-400 but the caveat with this purchase suggests Turkey is going down a bumpy road it now realizes it has chosen. Turkey losing the F-35, Turkey's loss of F-35 supporting role will have a vast impact for the man on the street in Turkey. The Su57 cannot fill that gap nor can it be sustained over the long haul as other defensive systems evolve based on what adversarial combatants offer against the F-35 plug and play platform.

Russia nor Turkey have the chops (industrial complex) competing in an arms race with the western powers for technological advancements.