Is June 26, 2019 The 777X First Flight?

After a little sleuthing, it occurred to me that 777X's first flight could be next Wednesday, June 26, 2019!!!! Why ????

Try this Link;

Boeing 777X expected to fly on June 26, according to Emirates Airline president

and then this:

May 29, 2019, Reuters

Hey, what about the GE9X engine problems found in testing?

An engine  "part" wore abnormally after thousands of hours under engine distress. Other than that the engine met expectations. So the part fix will come by the end of the year while a lot of experts expect a 777X delay from this issue.

Not so fast my friend yesterday the 777X ran a runway test with GE9X engines.

Typically those kinds of tests come a week before first flight. A planeload of 777X engineers was onboard to measure everything 777X under the full engine power and full braking all day long! Just watch and smile when saying on June 26th, 2019. The 777X test vomit comet is ready to fly!

First Flight, yeah, and the press won't be there!

Middle Of Grounding 737 Max MoG

Since March 2019 the 737 Max has been grounded and parked. When airlines get excited about getting Max back in the air, I get excited. Air Canada the Max engine placement forward looks to get the Max flying at the end of summer, the earliest, and no later than October of 2019. Mark your Max calendar about September 20th, 2019 as a reasonable time frame for a return to the air for the 737 Max.

Some may even be quoted as saying the Max is becoming the world' safest aircraft given all this scrutiny. The inspectors, like FAA, are looking at everything and not just the MCAS system which is blamed for the two 737 Max crashes. The angle of attack is greatly affected by its engine placement and a propensity to stall since the center of the airplane gravity has moved forward from its forward engine placement.

Computer software kept Max from stalling with only one sensor in play. If the sensor was not functioning properly bad data went to the computer pushing its nose down while gaining speed to avoid stalling. Pilots who thought they were in control pulled up and saw speed indications were at maximum speed for the aircraft. The computer drove the aircraft downward while pilots could not solve a problem they had no training in. The Max just crashed at maximum speed into the earth/water. The computer allowed the pilots some upward mobility but then overrode pilot inputs until it crashed as the reports seem to document.

The solution is reported three fold but it is important to know there will be two sensors that must always function, agree and can be overridden by the pilot via switching off MCAS functions. The pilot is given ultimate control of the aircraft under all MCAS conditions at any time. The preventable stalling situation is only assisting pilots by its MCAS and adding new indicators informing the pilot of the aircraft flying conditions. MCAS will keep the MAX in flying balance but not fly the airplane. Boeing overbuilt and under built MCAS at the same time causing the crashes. It wouldn't let go of control when the one sensor it depended on failed. It overrode pilot control for a system or condition which didn't exist on the aircraft. It always was flying fast enough and there was no stall occurring. The aircraft didn't have a chance because a monstrous system was unchecked.

The outcome will be a thorough vetting of the Max making it the safest airplane humans can build from all the checking and changing that has occurred. It will be the first "world airplane" scrutinized by every world agency signing off on its airworthiness. The A320 will not of had this much testing, nor Embraer or a Bombardier. The 737 Max should fly with extreme confidence during 2019. Its been about 90 days since grounding and it will be another ninety-days before its return to service. It's the Middle of Grounding (MoG).

A strategy Of Iranian Implosion vs Explosion

The Us stepped back today and did not strike Iran for its shoot down of an American unmanned drone. The US has shifted strategy on Iran at the last moment. Let Iran implode and not explode under its own weight of insanity. Economic sanction in place and added measures will make Iran a society of Top Ramen noodles instead of Chicken rice pilaf.

Trump did not want Iranians to die for the sake of an unmanned drone shot down.

Instead, what is now learned is a bullet is now chambered for Iranian mishaps in its judgment.

If a tanker is struck or attacked or another US military asset is destroyed by Iran there should be Iranian loss of life for these misdeeds. Notice has been served it's up to Iran what happens next and has become Trump's position on the matter.

Rashness from Trump was abated in this last event from a drone downing as he pulled back 10 minutes before an American air strike was launched. Trump's already in place duel strategy of "exploding" or "imploding" gave way to implode. Iran will collapse as the nation suffers economic despair for its misdeeds. The handwriting is already on the wall and its people regardless of a religious bent is more deadly than an unweaponized US drone flying over water in the Arabian Gulf.

Iran can implode and the US can wash its hands from this demolition of an errant or rogue nation. The people of Iran should worry and take control of its own security away from Iranian ner-do' wells having a righteous cause for the reason for troublemaking. Imploding is the Iranian bomb. 

Pondering War With Iran

Will Iran collapse under its own weight and no shot will be fired? Or does the US Just intensify its military maneuverings? Both are probably true.

• For Trump to go all-in, he needs a US casualty and not a manless drone shot down.
• Trump needs prominent allies publically behind him before making an Iranian incursion.    (having Great Britain, India, and Saudi Arabia say go for it all at once is needed).
• Trump needs Iran to attack anything that resonates with American citizens at home.

• Iran needs to economically hang on for another Year.
• Iran must not allow its pride to pull the war switch.
• Iran doesn't have the chops to win a war with the US but can gain style points in the world court of opinion if it loses badly to the US.

What will happen is already happening, the CIA, Israel, and others are cutting the head of the Iran snake off and then looking like a victim. Just wait, Kharg island will blow-up one day and somebody will say, "oops, it wasn't me". No Iranian oil for ten years going to Russia and an Iranian economic collapse will happen not affecting the G-20 members since Iranian oil is not in its collective play. The world has enough non-Iranian oil at this time. Sorry, China and Russia or maybe North Korea will have to scramble. No war please, just mishaps!

Does Cancelling Turkey's F-35 Mean It is Not A Turkey?

The F-35 must really work well. That is why the US has canceled the US/Turkey F-35 program. It really works and Isreal objects to Turkey owing any of its types. The S-400 Russian deal is just a subterfuge to the real deal.  Turkey must have an F-35 and the US going way out of its sales momentum for its program sold Turkey the jet, even at all! 

Now it has backed out because its NATO partners object, "you can't have the S-400 and F-35 at the same time". 

The US already has the S-400 figured out. It is a potential risk that can be mitigated by missiles and space coordination.

Turkey almost pulled a fast one over the US's need for greed from selling procurement before it knew how the F-35 would become so key to American defenses. The F-35 is a controlled military substance and Turkey in a country dealing from a street corner.

Making A 797: Solves The Max Problem

If Boeing were to announce at Paris it will go forward with the 797 and fix the Max as a stop gap measure the 797, then makes more sense. Boeing bought Embraer and is now cornering the single-aisle market from that facet. The 797 could reach back to 200 seats supplanting the 737 Max 8, 9 and 10. Then it may go transcontinental with an upscale 797 while making the last of the 737 over the next 10 years. I look to see Boeing announcing the 797 at this years Paris Airshow in light of the Airbus announcement of the A320 XLR type. Airbus will momentarily seize the show with an announcement for a long-range single-aisle but in five years?

However, a bridge-building 797 covering the apparent aviation gap with twin aisles could stymy Airbus into a rethink of its aviation tactics concerning Boeing. A 797 twin-aisle would make commuting 3,000 miles a delight over any single-aisle considerations. An Embraer 150 seat single aisle could do a yeoman's duty at the single-aisle end of the market over the next five years. Embraer could build from 75 seats to 150 seat aircraft at this time and Boeing could sweep back the Market with a twin-aisle 200-270 seat aircraft which would fly over 4,500 miles, thus nullifying Airbus offering. Boeing could convert all those 737 Max 8 orders into 797-8 orders offering twin-aisle comfort, something Boeing has lacked during this century with its 737 families of aircraft. The flow would follow a naming convention e-jets from #175 to #200 and then the Boeing 797. The Max folds into a Boeing strategy of change erasing passenger memory over the Max crashes.

The 797 could sell over 5,000 units if it stretches back into the Max saga of aircraft starting with 175 seats going upward to 270 and then beating the A321XLR in any contest on seats and distance. Boeing would regain the comfort king title once again and still remain efficient at the same time. Embraer could sell 2,000 units and Boeing would bridge aviation's gap with 7,000 aircraft combined when entering the market place over the next ten years. The question would become, Max who? That is what Boeing needs for getting past its own big feet it finds itself stumbling upon. Does Boeing have the courage to reconfigure its line of aircraft? If it doesn't show courage for change then it will die an unsightly death and leave the world pondering about Airbus.

777X Completes The 777 Promise

When the 777-300ER came out in 1994 it promised a change in aviation's quest of a perfect blend of performance and value. It delivered. Now the 777X comes with 787 attributes and 777 visions for that initial aircraft. It has folding wings made of composite material and a wider body due to thinner outside walls engineered. It will fly up to 400 or more customers going over 7,000 miles with a 15% efficiency gain. After building 1,400 plus 777's a winning hand is presented to its customers across the globe. The natural outcome would be to replace the 1,400 777's with 1,400 777X's over the next 15 years. 

There will always be the Airbus A350-1000 crowd because of deal-making and commonality considerations but the 777X is set to rule aviation's traveling customers. A quieter engine with more technological improvement because of the 787 progress, suggests the 777X will meet its promise of changing the aviation world. The 777X will be a natural replacement for the much loved A380 just from its efficiencies, but it also will have A380 like space for its passengers. A double deck becomes more of a novelty than a functioning attribute. The 777X will fold in nicely into all A380 airport expansion slots. The 500 passenger capacity of the A380 is hard to fill at this time for traveling pairs of cities. The 777X makes more sense at 400 passengers. 

Even though Boeing has sold about 356 777X's it will most insistently sell double that amount after it enters service in 2020. The engine delay from GE is a lesson learned from the 787 programs. "Make it right", is more important to a company's future than just making it fast. Boeing is showing it can wait for it through the 777X program. Even though it will not have first flight by June 26, 2019, it will fly the first time before 2020. It may make first delivery during 2020. It all depends on getting right rather than just getting it. It will sell another hundred of its type before first delivery. 

Boeing's New Strategy

Since the Max program was found severally flawed, Boeing has pivoted towards its widebody offering until an all-clear signal is sent from its single-aisle offering, which may fly once again going to the next big airshow after Paris. Boeing has pivoted towards its 787 and 777X models, which it has been working within the market place over the last six months. Expect a few surprising announcements at Paris this year from Boeing. Maybe another 20 777X or 20 787's will be offered up at the center announcing stage, but it has feinted towards featuring its innovation over sales announcements at this year's airshow. Therefore, Boeing's pivot is an attempt to seamlessly move its game over the market board by quietly ignoring the single-aisle segment at this year's Airshow. My unofficial prediction is for about $7 billion in Boeing aircraft sales. 

Stratolaunch is a metaphor for Boeing Strategy of "Big"

Airbus should crush the single-aisle segment with over 100 A320's/A321's totaling around $10 billion US. It will also add another half dozen A350's from all classes for another $2 billion in sales, totaling a show-stopping $12 billion in sales. Yes, Boeing is going to lose this year's show in total sales but will its pivot to innovation and widebody work? 

Five years out will give the hindsight analysis on this question. At which time the Max will have flown again and a new single-aisle is on the board with taller landing gears, better engine configuration, and more assembly efficiency found within its frame. 2025 writes the advent of a new "737" announcement during the same time the 797 enters service. A new Boeing single-aisle will offer congruency with the 797 progressions. If a pilot flies a "new" single-aisle it can also fly a 787 as well, with little preparation for learning its capabilities and nature.

Boeing's new strategy is doing what it does best and the 737 is under "fix" mode in the meantime. Long ago it had lined out a strategy for bracketing Airbus offering in a model by model box between the 787 and 777 models. The A350-1000 or 2000 won't approach the 777X family of aircraft and the 787-9 is a mini Jumbo filling the long and thin distance niche airlines require.  Boeing may have trapped Airbus in a development quagmire using the 777 300ER frames as the basis for the next great airplane found in the 777X. Once the GE engine is matriculated from development hell it can and will outdo anything Airbus can offer from Rolls Royce. The English engine maker has fallen ten years behind GE.

Airbus is married to Rolls out of Euro loyalties and a GE powered Boeing will dominate going forward. Rolls can only do too little with a too much goal. GE is just now refining what Rolls is dreaming about with its engine offering. Boeing's strategy has gone big again.

The Daily Turkey Roast

It is well known about Turkey's insistence on buying Russian made S-400 missiles in the face of purchasing 100 or so US made F-35's. Turkey may have biffed it for itself but it also has made itself more reliant on external sources to military equipment by adding Russia to its list of military sources than just NATO or the USA. Turkey is independent but I get that and respect its solidarity for its independence when it bought the S-400 missile system from Russia.



Let's be honest since major powers put honesty as an indefensible point of its attack for any sensible defense, huh? There is no comparison between having an S-400 or an F-35 wing in its arsenal. The F-35 wins this trade-off in spades over the S-400. The only consolation prize is the costs savings after dropping the F-35 purchase and buying a cheaper Russian missile system in its place. Turkey cannot afford "American made" military-industrial complex products. Turkey won't be buying a Virginia Class submarine either for entering the Black Sea.

Turkey is a minor league military power and should not be buying major league pieces to dot its defensive board. The US loses because it has priced itself out of the third world military axis of powers. Russia meets the Turkey market place pricing scheme. The US may not have offered Turkey enough of a subsidy for Turkey to buy an F-35 system. Therefore, Turkey went to the bargain basement and bought the S-400. The US is too expensive for the likes of Turkey even though Turkey had built a strong technology industrial source for everything tech, hence the F-35 program participation. Turkey builds 900 plus parts for the F-35. The US is rapidly switching out F-35 parts sources that are not labeled, "made in Turkey".

Turkey was a partner for the money of it and it has now chosen something it can afford but in doing so it has given up the supporting the F-35 money footprint since it will not be making F-35 technology (parts) at all or so it seems. Russian S-400 parts making would not be able to replace the loss of the F-35 program over the long run. Turkey is just being a third world poser as it should. Therefore, the US should have acted accordingly and sold turkey more F-15Xs than offering the F-35 in the first place.

Turkey will talk to Russia about buying the Russian 5th gen fighter SU-57. It will want to offer a Su-57 parts contribution to that program not unlike what it had done with the F-35 program before it bought the Russian made S-400. So a recap of the SU-57 program is needed. It is airshow worthy. About a dozen of them exists at this time. What is known about them is a typical Russian overestimated effort for its excellence. The F-35 is no Su-57 because the F-35 is technologically better. India gave up on trying to partner with Russia on the Su-57 program. There will be a Turkish Su-57 hanger for three flying copies. One will eventually crash. NATO will use this opportunity to play the US for more stuff.

Now on this side of the planet, The US has more than a Patriot missile system to offer. Even though a Patriot label represents the most advanced missile system in the world, there is something more advanced having a Patriot label glued on it. The US has had too much time on its hands since the first Patriot system was first deployed. It stands to reason the US has a trump card to play in its arsenal but it won't sell that card to anyone as it is part of its national defense policy. Don't know what it is called and the name doesn't matter at this time. The theories do abound on what the US does have but it best speculated using assumptions with a range of capability from a winged drone to a hypersonic missile with all the bells and whistles. Russia and China are working on both and brag they have it today even though they are years behind what the US has. Why this is so? Because if it isn't we are in deep do-do. 

Proven concepts are in place waiting for productions orders. Boeing, Lockheed, and Northrup have a space ready to make "rain" happen. Satellites, HARRP, and lasers are not even calculated at this time. The more you know the more Turkey becomes a third world military complex. The F-35 was too expensive for them even holding techno parts contracts that are currently producing parts with which will come to a close shortly. The US is hoping to get its Turkey production replacements in place over the next six months into the F-35 supply chain.

Concluding, the Turkey F-35 withdrawal establishes a Geopolitical change has occurred and Turkey has become US baggage as it became a casualty of power. Mediterranean food is excellent and Turkey remains a great place to visit if enough money is spent. Turkey will host itself in the shine of coinage.

A 797 will Change the Travel Culture

Carry-on luggage is the key here. The 797 is designed for customers to wheel on something in the 15 KG realm using a simple lifting effort. Gone will be the anxious wait for luggage back in the terminal luggage turnstile. The 797 overhead bins will just be large and engineered to drop into the face of a boarding passenger giving it a  convenient position. A passenger who is only 5" plus tall and 90 pounds may heft a larger carry-on than what is now allowed, while slinging the end of the bag, case or backpack, catching the edge of the bin and then sliding the carry on into its depths. Passengers already seated should just stay seated assuming its bag has already been stowed above. However, having a three day supply of stuff for a trip matches well with those conferences we all love to adore. For the small in stature, a cleverly engineered interior should be able to accommodate the vertically challenged or muscleless traveler.

A United Airlines carry on has a restriction for size is 9 X 14x 22 inches a 797 bin could go an inch higher all around the dimension metric. Maybe just enough for the third day of clothes and a laptop computer to boot. Why? The 797 will have seven seats across and more storage space than a 787 jetliner.

Current overhead bin limitation

An inch here and an inch there, then viola you make it to Friday on a Monday night departure when traveling on the company's travel budget. Just have wheels and a lifting handle on the bag and get one end to the overhead bin edge with the other on your shoulder and shove. Unloading could be controlled easily by pulling a well placed strapped handle on the bag and then the second freehand catches the bag before it konks somebody's head below. Don't overload or make it heavy that would be rude creating an obnoxious hazard for others. The carry on bin will rotate upward to the higher ceiling in a power-assisted swing controlled by the flight attendant. Isn't it grand to design the passenger space with more room to play with?