Airlines tend to buy aircraft in a growth patterns staying with a
manufacturer, whether or not the next type of up-line model is not better than
the competitions. In-essence, the commonality question becomes more import for
fleet expansion or replacement than if buying 787-9 or an A-350-900 when you
have a fleet of single aisle already supplied with trained ground personal,
parts, and few pilots capable of stepping up to a different dual aisle model.
The 1% -2% difference between wide bodies in competition doesn't play into the
over-all cost of having a mixed fleet of both Airbus and Boeing Aircraft.
PAL is pondering buying the A-350. It also runs in numbers the
A-320. It has retired its 747 fleet and needs long legs. What PAL has to
consider, is whether the A-320 meets its future needs as compared with the
Boeing MAX single aisle, before it orders the A-350 duo-aisle wide body. Boeing
would like to flip the PAL fleet Boeing's way. It has to sell them, the MAX, in
the future with an overwhelming argument before PAL could even consider the 787
wide body. It just easier for PAL to order the A-350 regardless of a line by
line comparison on the 787 vs the A-350.
Boeing must convince PAL why the 737 Max is a sea change event for
other airlines in the region, before the wide body sale can be completed. Here
are Boeing's Talking point to that end.
- The 737 Max is a
better fit for PAL.
- The 737 training
expense for PAL maybe mitigated through aircraft price offerings and
sweeteners.
- The timing for
PAL/Boeing delivery could be made more appropriate for PAL's financing
resources.
- The Boeing
Advantage of dual aisle performance could be made relevant with Boeing's
fleet change assistance.
- Competition is
going to be other airlines which are flying Boeing in the region.
- The competition
with wide bodies, world-wide, is the 787, the A-350 maybe close but no
cigar.
Boeing has to work very hard for the wide-body sales of the 787 as
PAL ponders Airbus and its commonality with the A-320. The Max discussion must
be part of the deal in order it to work for PAL.
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