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Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Fully Functioning Runway 11/29 Indicates 787 Completness

In Everett Washington at Paine Field, is a runway number 11/29. Apply named the Crosswinds Runway for its NW to SE axis during times of cross winds, it can land small aircraft. But it doesn't. It merely acts as an indicator for Boeing's robust 787 program. The indicator shows a backlog of early 787 parked in the symmetry of  of a long line.


Matt Cawby Photo Credit See kpae.blogspot.com "support KPAE" August 2014  photo


When this long line empties, Boeing has cleared the airplane decks. The news is, Boeing has revealed a cleaning out and said, "in 4-8 months all early builds of the troublesome 787 will be gone," by suggesting they will be in customer hands or moved into a production refit center.

Runway ownership belongs to the Paine Field Airport Authority, not Boeing. Damage to the runway belongs to Boeing as aircraft sink further into the asphalt. Boeing will make it right with Paine field. This is a small runway for small aircraft, not the 787. This runway would be used during times of strong cross winds. The north/south axis main runways are used by all heavy aircraft. Paine field plans improvement and Boeing plans a full functioning Just-In-Time production model.

Currently Boeing builds 787 with skill of a juggler. Some go to the flight line for its completeness stage, and some go to the rework center since space is a premium. Those going indoors are placed in long-term parking as it completes. Those aircraft are for customers needing a buffer of time before delivery. The longest term parking are the dead aircraft waiting for buyers such as the early build 787 waiting on 11/29.

The "just new" Flight line aircraft receive its completeness parked outdoors, as they are already purchased with customer crews who are camped out in Everett during waiting, testing and studying about its intended 787.

That is why Runway 11/29 is so important. It becomes the flare gun shot in the air once the runway empties of 787. Boeing becomes "787 production optimal"! It represents supply chain problems are mastered, it represent program maturity for building the 787, and finally it represents Boeing has reached its break even point for the 787 project. Boeing has predicted 787 Break-even by the end of year 2015. Runway 11/29 is not just a number/name, it's emptying represents everything for both Boeing and Paine Field moving forward.   Boeing's and Paine Field's ABC goal:
  • Availability
  • Break-even
  • Completeness

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Copa Airlines Of Panama Scoops up 61 Max 737 with order

Panama is emerging into the 21st century nicely. It has ordered both the Max-8 and Max-9 totaling 61 737's. This may  signify Boeing has answered all questions concerning the Max since the CFM engine performance shortfall with its own bench testing. I would call this a normalizing order year for Boeing as it seeks tying up all loose ends in the order works. Copa Airlines, a long held Boeing customer, is going long with the Max-9. Below is the recent livery for Copa Airlines.

Image result for Panama Air

CMP is Copa Commercial Identifier

Friday, April 10, 2015

VN-A861 Rolls Out Vietnam Airlines; It' s 787 #300 built (Updated-seat count)

This is an auspicious occasion at many levels. First it's Vietnam Airlines initial 787-9 for any type of 787. Second it's Boeing's 300th 787 when pushing out its first 787 since 2007. Even though Vietnam Airlines also has on order the Airbus, A-350-900, the significance of Vietnam Airlines first 787 is not lost on a nation or its airline. However, there is a race to first delivery. Airbus, through an Aer Cap order (14 A350-900) has recently painted a Vietnam Airlines livery on the undelivered leased aircraft. The Boeing 787-9 is scheduled for delivery by May  31, 2015. The Boeing aircraft seems to be just about a week behind, as it has not been painted its new livery. All Things 787 Blog  <Link reference with its feature article today.

AerCap Lease for Vietnam Airlines Airbus A350-900
Image result for vietnam airlines a350-900

Business NA
Deluxe Economy NA
Economy NA

Three class typical is 314 depending on pitch dimensions.

The Boeing 787-9 will be a similar size with 274 seats.
 Photo credits  The designair.net <Link


28   Business Class  7 rows
35   Economy Plus   5 rows
211 Economy         23.5 rows
Total  274              35.5 rows

28 1-2-1 VNA 787 Business class
VietnamAirlines787_4

35 Economy Plus 2-3-2, 42" Pitch
VietnamAirlines787_5

211 Economy 3-3-3, 32" Pitch
VietnamAirlines787_1

Airbus Goes Totally private in Business Class, my guess 28 seats

VietnamAirlinesA350_1

Premium Economy 3-3-3, no seat numbers available, you guess from the picture. My guess 45 seats
VietnamAirlinesA350_2

The venerable Economy 3-3-3 my guess 198 seats based on 22 rows

VietnamAirlinesA350_5

Total nonsensical estimation is 271 305 A-350-900 seats
Having?:
Business Class:     28 29 seats 7 7.25 rows 1-2-1
Deluxe Economy: 45 seats 5 rows 3-3-3
Economy:            191 231 seats 22 25.67 rows 3-3-3
Total:                   305  seats  approximately 38 rows

Total 271 seats? Nawh, they have to go bigger by at least 5' or in seats somewhere (24 25.67 rows?). Let's add on and make it 208 231 in economy for Airbus and total it at 299  305 seats just because Winging It can make it so!

I found it and it took a while, its official. Its now an Update for Vietnam Airlines Blog:


Credit citation for chart below <Link (Center for Aviation) CAPA

Vietnam Airlines A350 and 787 configurations: Mar-2015

Business
Premium Economy
 Economy
Total
Premium Share
Economy Share
A350-900
29
45
231
305
10%
90%
787-9 v1
28
35
211
274
10%
90%
787-9 v2
28
0
283
311
9%
91%
Version 2 will carry Maximum passengers as it dedicates 283 seats to the economy class, plus 28 business class seats, as it will have the ultimate seats available totaling 311 within this most recent purchase as compared with the A350-900 purchase. The Vietnam Airlines purchase bundle is for 8 Boeing 787-9's, and 14 Airbus A350-900 of which four are leased with 10 purchased. The version numbers of 787-9 is not disclosed at this time. Assume 4 v1's and 4 v2's. 

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Boeing Already Dipped Under The Airbus WB Order Backlog.

If you ordered a A350 900, -1000 today when can you expect to get one? Boeing has about 847 undelivered 787's as of today. Airbus has about 778 undelivered A350's with two delivered in four months.

Boeing will deliver 120 787's this year and it will double that number until the end of 2016. Looking forward, with today's status report, and not counting new orders from this date in 2015 through 2016 its production numbers will total 240 +- additional 787's flying equaling almost 500 787 in customer's hands at the end of 2016. Airbus, if it builds 15 this year and possibly 60 in 2016, it will have 75 flying. This would include the two already delivered. I also look at Boeing guidance of 120 a year for the next two years. This would include the 30 already delivered for 2015. The Boeing number delivered is (90+ 120+258 = 468) 468, 787 delivered by the end of 2016.

The Boeing Countdown:
  • 90 Remaining deliveries during 2015
  • 120 delivery guidance during 2016
  • 258 delivered already, includes 30 delivered in first qtr 2015.
Total 468 delivered by YE 2016

Airbus Scheduled 15 A350 built in 2015 and Winging IT projects 60 A350 for 2016. In 2018 Airbus proposes 10 a Month A350's. By then the WB, in service gap, will widen with Boeing offerings than Airbus by a large margin.

*Flat estimations are frozen numbers from current data and production completions.

 Airbus A350  Boeing B787
2015 *Flat Orders Booked 780 1105

YE-16 Total Delivered Est.

75

468

Calculated unfilled Orders 2016.

705

637

As the chart indicates Boeing will have shrunk its order book beyond what Airbus can respond to during the next twenty months. Boeing has unleashed a 787 production juggernaut. The customers have noticed. They can get a 787 sooner than an A350. It can also get a 787-10 faster than an Airbus A1000, only If it orders now! All Airbus A350 orders placed today will come after a customer who receives a Boeing 787, if ordering the 787 on the same day as the A350. The 120 a year Boeing production pace passes a larger Airbus backlog easily in 2016, and will continue to grow in backlog order availability as the next 36 months go forward. Both aircraft manufacturers are positioned for taking on new orders, however an Airbus placed order hurts more for an earlier delivery time as it add backlog against Boeing's faster delivery pace, as compared with what a Boeing order will do to its backlog.

"If a 787 order is placed at the same time of a A350, the 787 will deliver first over the A350."

Going three years out in time,  Airbus starts lagging in the order pace having a larger backlog.
However, if the market looks at relative backlog as a order pacing metrics, Boeing will have the advantaged in wait time. If Boeing has a great 787 order year in 2015, then both companies will be in a equal position when considering its customers order flows and delivery time. All this assumes on gaining timely delivery times during a company's five year plans, and as manufacturers seek optimal backlog and wait times within a five year cycle.

"If Five Year Plans are critical to airlines, then the most flexible backlog wait time has the advantage over its competitor."

By 2018 Boeing will have a 150 aircraft order stream opened up over Airbus. It can take on 150 787 ordered in a given year and stay even or ahead of the Airbus' backlog wait time. By then Boeing will be delivering 12-14 787's compared with Airbus' guidance of ten a month. The delivery pace of Boeing keeps customers nearer to a delivery time when they order as compared to the Airbus production plan. Boeing will maintains its 3 year lead over Airbus and also expand its lead each when it produces 12-14 aircraft a month from its two plants.

Exhibit 1A:

Airbus A350 Boeing B787

2015 Flat Order Book 


780

1105

YE 2018 Delivered  Est.

Culmulative 

270 (1-1)

732 (1-1)

Unfilled Orders YE-18

510


373                 


Exhibit 1-1:


Prior years Delivery 75 468
2017 in year Delivery 75 120
2018 in year Delivery 120 144

Totals

270

732

Yes, there are slots created as customers change delivery times according to its own needs. A buying company can't wait for early slots before placing an order, otherwise it must depend on actual production dependability. Boeing has two separate plants mitigating any  production hiccups. Everett and Charleston are going big on the production floor, and can do so without obtaining another order for eight years.

The speed of which Boeing delivers, increases order potential over Airbus current capability, until it can fully reach maximum production output at the end of the next 20 months. Even though, Airbus capability may reach 10 A350 a month, it will compare with Boeings 12-14 787 a month corporate guidance during 2018. The Boeing/Airbus backlog gap will continue to grow from Boeing's capability of production and product efficiency steps found in its latest delivered airplanes. Vital 787 momentum, impels the buyer in Boeing's direction.

CFM's 800 Pound Gorilla Waits For Another PIP

CFM we have a problem. The all Boeing Max put its eggs in the CFM Basket which now faces a 5% short fall as reported by multiple news sources. The all-knowing reading techno junkies are now asking "Winging It to explain its way out of this mess Ollie". I can't and I won't explain the predicament Boeing now finds itself under. A 800 hundred pound Gorilla hung under the MAX wing is a show stopper in the single aisle order book as it would make the 737 Max more like a NEO in performance. If a person gets 20 miles per gallon with its loaded vehicle, a reduction of 5% directly results to a 19 mpg actual performance outcome, using the same operational conditions. A 20 gallon tank then has a range of 380 miles instead of 400 miles.  A CFM version engine has a 5% short fall then it translate into these roughed out numbers. A person can achieve a 5% short fall from tire pressure. CFM has to find the right tire pressure.

Apply a 5% penalty to everything in with simplistic analysis.

  • 4,000 mile range Drops to 3,800 mile range.
  • Seat cost per passenger rises by 5%.
  • Fuel Cost rise incrementally by 5% no matter the per gallon price.  
And so forth...

The actual percentages may vary per category as they are measures against the whole of the aircraft performance and operational costs. The main thing is that CFM has to solve its underestimation by 5% it sold Boeing in the next two years. The only Olive branch offered Boeing is,

 "We have two years to make it right!"

The question quickly shifts, can they really make it right this late in the CFM 1B level of development? Second place is for losers when there are many options including PW and other projects. Boeing has been bitten by single sourcing its engines for the 737 using CFM only. An AA chapter on the Boeing campus is newly established for its Max executives.

CFM believes in the "Technological Fix Syndrome" (TFS) for all problems. The TFS does not work if all assumptions are flushed by the 5% shortfall. It cannot go back and start over from five years ago when it started the new CFM design implementations. It has a serious TFS issues, as it cannot invent its way out of the fix at this time. It must take the PIP pill once a month, by determining what it can improve within the hand it dealt itself. I must assume the 5% performance shortfall represents its base 1B engine even after considerable tweaking making its optimal performance level before any PIP changes are made.

The problem with PIP world is you have the base design to improve and not the whole of a fresh start. Making a pig fly only has some much it can improve upon within the constraints of a frozen design. Making a 5% performance recovery considers engineering Trickeration on an already improved design. In the meantime, the front office is searching for the team that said this engine is so good it could perform 5% better than what it just showed! Boeing bought it and now they are far out on the MAX limb spinning new assurances in area of billions and billions of dollars.

The answer is obvious, you are stuck Boeing, and CFM will have H*** to pay if they can't correct course.

You may ask how can Airbus with its CFM 1A get a 2% improvement compared with the Boeing version of a 5% shortfall. This part answer is found in the engine cowling and opening. The Airbus version is bigger at 71" across where the Boeing low ground clearance is a 61" opening. The larger the openings, the better the efficiency metrics are, as a general rule. The 777X will have the largest of all engine diameters.  The Boeing 737 MAX did not stretch its landing gears taller due to in aircraft body space availability. This would be a major setback to the MAX project if they did so at the beginning, when they recognized a need for a few more inches of landing gear space for a taller landing stance. It would have accommodated a larger circumference engine cowling, and so forth. A larger engine opening would gain fuel burn performance.

The 737 Max sticking to engineering theme of compressing the body design, has reached a Max barrier of Body and Engine trade-off with its new CFM 1B engine currently on the test block. The engine needs help from Boeing design influences in order to Maximize the overall 737 MAX affect. The 800 pound Gorilla is not weight, it is specification within the concept of not having a larger engine opening in a single aisle class. CFM must now cram in a better performing engine, contained in a smaller space, by using adjunct engine PIPs. Just because they said they could do it at the outset, Boeing is calling them out to do it! Boeing is stressed.


Sunday, April 5, 2015

787 Order Book Churning Period Has Begun

Below is a chart of completed 787-8 orders. They represent Boeing sales opportunity for churning out new orders. As this list grows from Boeing's delivery pace of 120 more 787's delivered in 2015. Taking care of  Boeing's potential reorder customers is an important consideration in its sales effort with follow-on 787's sales in the next round. Hainan was on my short list originally, but they closed a deal for some 30 787-9's after its 10th 787-8 delivery. This is the best example of sales churning for making this point after an empty 787 order books. Hainan ordered 10 787-8's and received 10 787-8's. Now they have eagerly added 30 787-9's to its growth plans. With this in place as a sales engine, the following airlines should expand its purchases of more 787's.

Well positioned and empty 787 order books needing some churning in a basic A-B-C approach.
  • Aeromexico
  • British Airways
  • China Southern
  • Ethiopian 
All four enjoy the benefits of the 787 in operation. They all have a need for the 787-9 or 787-10 and are prepositioned in its relative markets or regions for an advantageous 787 follow-on purchase. Having China Southern follow suit as Hainan has just completed its purchase with Boeing, would be a strong move for China Southern. As it keeps pace with its regional competitor. Aeromexico has both a leased and purchased 787-8 fleet and it could lease 787-9's. Getting on  a 787-9 delivery queue sooner would make Aeromexico a strong Latin competitor with LAN and as it goes for European destinations. Finally, Ethiopian sees the importance of the Dreamliner effect and how it has changed its fortune. The 787-9 was  made for beyond Africa and the 787-10 is Africa.

British Airways has already placed orders for 22 787-9's and 12 787-10's at its disposal. It also has set aside for 18 A350-1000 with equal number of options. Boeing does not stand still on its order book and BA is a critical part of making a point, of who has the best aircraft? Since the 787-9 has not begun to deliver for BA it stands to reason the Boeing Sales team must offer information on what the 787-9 is doing in service with its other customers. It is known as the public information on profit and loss filings. Not much is written about the BA eight in number 787-8's in service, but it is important noting silence is a good thing when an aircraft starts operating.

All Things 787.blog  Chart (Uresh Seth)

Customer Name Customer Code Model Ordered Delivered Undelivered
Aeromexico AMX 787-8 2 2 0
Azerbaijan Airlines AHY 787-8 2 2 0
British Airways BAB 787-8 8 8 0
China Southern Airlines GUN 787-8 10 10 0
Ethiopian Airlines ETH 787-8 10 10 0
Hainan Airlines HNA 787-8 10 10 0
Korean Air KAL 787-8 1 1 0
United Air Lines UAL/CAL 787-8 12 12 0

The Dreamliner-Kidman Affect

WHCA DINNER
Nicole Kidman is being criticized by American Airlines flight attendants for being a spokeswoman for Etihad Airways.

Nicole Kidman was enlisted by Etihad as the face of its airlines. Flight Attendants in Fort Worth/ Dallas- American Airlines, naturally would protest, as it has its own flight to Dubai, and says Etihad wants open skies, as in "Eyes Wide Shut Kidman". She just looks so good saying so for Etihad. American Airlines disagrees with the concept of open skies, and its flight attendants are in a hissy stand-by flight status over the whole Kidman look.

Flight Attendants Have Bone to Pick With Nicole Kidman

THEY'RE NOT PLEASED WITH ACTRESS'S ETIHAD AIRWAYS AD CAMPAIGN

By Evann Gastaldo,  Newser Staff

Posted Apr 3, 2015 9:20 AM CDT


(NEWSER) – Nicole Kidman is a UN Women Goodwill Ambassador ... and yet she also appears in ads for Etihad Airways, a United Arab Emirates-based company that has been accused of treating its female employees badly. A US flight attendants' union has taken issue with that, the Guardian reports, writing an open letter to Kidman explaining that Etihad and other UAE airlines "are well-known in our industry for their discriminatory labor practices and deplorable treatment of female employees" and noting that the airline's alleged behavior doesn't exactly jibe with Kidman's statement last month, on International Women's Day, that "I envisage a world where all women and girls have equal opportunities and rights."
Specifically, the union says, "the Wall Street Journal has publicly reported [Etihad] 'may fire women if they become pregnant' and forces flight attendants to live in 'confinement' in secure compounds" (see that December article by the Journal here). Etihad swung back at the allegations in a statement that specifically refutes the pregnancy discrimination claim. The Association of Professional Flight Attendants represents 25,000 American flight attendants who work for American Airlines and US Airways, and its letter is supported by Americans for Fair Skies, a lobbying group that backs other US carriers that are unhappy with UAE carriers. The group put out a statement calling for Kidman to end her "puzzling and unsettling" relationship with Etihad, the Dallas Morning News reports.

Source News.com.au:
A white paper commissioned by US carriers claimed that since 2004, Etihad has received as much as $22 billion in government subsidies and interest free loans.
The 55-page document titled “Restoring Open Skies” said along with other Gulf carriers Emirates and Qatar Airways, Etihad had been able to rapidly expand its fleet and international routes “seriously distorting the commercial marketplace and diverting global traffic to their hubs”.
It singled out Etihad as “unlikely to be in existence” without government subsidies and guarantees.
The airline has acknowledged receiving equity investment and shareholder loans supplemented by $US10.5 billion in loans from international financial institutions.
But addressing the annual Aviation Summit in Washington this week, Hogan hit out at the US airlines behind the white paper, and painted Etihad as the victim of jealous bullies.
------------------------------------------------------
I call all this commotion, "the Kidman Affect" on Dreamliners, I'll book a ticket with Etihad, if Nicole tells me personally to do it. It's as simple as that!

Saturday, April 4, 2015

Pent-Up WIP 787 Will Release In 2015

Those terrible teens orphaned in the 787 Production Purgatory (8 each), Those early 787-9's found in the Change Incorporation and Re-work holding tank (5 each) until its errant parents can fork over the bond money, and the shrinking buffer of preflight preparation goes from about 17 down to 12, represent a clearing of the flightline decks. By the end of 2015 the teens should be two. The tanked should be flying and the flight processing stage should be 6. Boeing will have made its guidance. It will produce a consistent 10 a month for 120 787 from factory to customer and adding pent-up Works-In-Process, it should go into the mid 130's delivered for 2015.

The question comes up how do I know that will happen? It is simple, it can't go for 12 a month production without it happening. The WIP and holding tank is a road block for 12 a month production, and the change management plans for adding the 787-10 would be stuffed with backlog of not sold or delivered. Part of Boeing's efficiency plan considers the introduction of twelve a month production pacing and the 787-10 project. It needs square footage available for the 777X project as well. The 787 has grown up and needs to go to customers. That is why the feverish pace is seen for delivering the terrible teens. Japan Airlines and New Zealand Air needs it 787-9 by the end of the year and out of Change Incorporation and Re-work status.

Everett is to become the work engine for both the 787-8 and 787-9 during the ramp-up process as Charleston, SC prepares for its 787-10 production. Does that mean Charleston will stop producing the -8 and -9 at this time? No, it means it will slow down its scheduled production of all its 787 slots for a short while, as it assembles the first test 787-10 testing aircraft. Everett will take on a full production effort during during this time to assure Boeing's 10-12 a month pacing is in place while Charleston gets its arms around the 787-10. Boeing South will be making all types at the same time but at a slightly slower pace. Everett will shift to a slightly faster pace as Boeing will balance for its guidance.

Boeing is now trying to empty the flightlines, the change incorporation work space and every other place it could use when maximizing production levels in Everett, so Boeing will meet its guidance during the next 2-3 years without any clumsy delays at its delivery cash register. They will to deliver above 130 in 2015 for its preparation for the 787-10 production and factory introduction.

Friday, April 3, 2015

Missing The Qantas Half Year Report? At The End Of Australian Summer...

...is not so bad if you are not from down under.

It was written by CEO Alan Joyce earlier, "Qantas is hoping for an even financial performance from its divisions before optioning for his 50 787" as shown in Boeing footnotes. So Far so good, International and other Qantas operations are positive growth and profitable. The half year report summarized best below, as all signs suggest Qantas will order 20 787-9's which have firm production slots if they do the deed before years end. 

The highlighted text below represents Alan Joyce underpinnings for completing a 787-9 order of 20, with assembly slots starting in 2017, and another 30 would not have dated assembly times into the future until Boeing assigns those 30 slots, during purchase negotiations.

Qantas Half Year Bullet Point December 31, 2014.

Qantas.com.au credit for JPEG <Link

Latest Half Year Results

View the highlights from Qantas latest and previous "Half Year Results" announcements as well as the accompanying Media Release and Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) release.

Results for the half year ending 31 December 2014

  • Underlying Profit Before Tax: $367 million
  • Statutory Profit After Tax: $206 million
  • Qantas Transformation Benefits: $374 million
  • Revenue increased 2.1 per cent from improved yields and loads
  • Comparable unit cost reduction: 4.8 per cent
  • Cash generated from operations: 1 billion
  • Positive net free cash flow: $194 million
  • Liquidity: $3.6 billion, including $2.9 billion cash
  • Earnings per share: 9.2 cents
Qantas is half way through its second half year results bullet point extravaganza. But here is what Joyce had to say for any student wanting 50 787-9 ordered by Qantas. (WI)

Qantas Group Half-Year Results Sydney, 26 February 2015 

Today I am pleased to report the results so far of the fundamental business transformation that is underway at Qantas. 

Qantas today reported an underlying profit before tax of $367 million for the six months to December 2014, and a statutory profit after tax of $206 million. 

This is a $619 million improvement over the same period last year at the underlying level. 

The decisive factor in this result – our best half-year performance for four years - is our transformation program, which delivered $374 million in benefits in the first half. 

Without the impact of transformation, Qantas would not be profitable today. 

The other positive drivers in the results were:

 $208 million from reduced depreciation; 
 $162 million from increased revenue per available seat kilometre; 
 $59 million from the removal of the carbon tax; and 
 $33 million from lower fuel prices. 

This result confirms that we are executing the right plan with discipline and speed. We are meeting, or exceeding, all our targets as we build a strong, sustainable future for Qantas and grow long-term shareholder value. Since we announced our transformation program in December 2013 we have:

 Lowered our cost base; 
 Grown free cash flow and revenue; 
 Improved fleet, product and service; 
 Strengthened customer satisfaction; 
 Reduced debt and strengthened the balance sheet; 
 Improved our return on invested capital; 
 Achieved our youngest fleet age in more than 20 years; and 
 Simplified the fleet from eleven to nine aircraft types, on the way down to seven. 

What sets this program apart is that we are reducing costs permanently, while at the same time delivering Qantas’ best ever fleet, product and service. 

We now have a strong foundation for sustainable growth. 

I want to express my deep appreciation to the people of Qantas who have worked so hard to make this transformation succeed. 

 2. We have come together to protect this great Australian company and give it a sustainable future. 

I also want to thank our customers. 

We are delighted to repay their loyalty with even better Qantas experiences today, and more rewards to come in the future. 

All parts of our business have contributed to this good result. 

Qantas International was profitable for the first time since the GFC with underlying earnings of $59 million, a turnaround of $321 million over the same period last year. 

Over the period it cut unit costs by almost 4 per cent while revenue increased by nearly 5 per cent.

The partnership with Emirates is now more than two years old and it continues to deliver. 

We've seen exceptional customer satisfaction with our Dubai hub and increased range of destinations, which in turn has given us a significant competitive advantage. 

With smarter fleet utilisation, Qantas has been able to offer new or additional capacity, including seasonal flights to Vancouver and additional services to LA, Santiago and Japan. 

Our new A330 product and lounges in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Los Angeles have been met with acclaim

In 2011 we set ourselves the task of getting Qantas International back into profit. We expect to achieve that goal this year, on target. 

Our domestic airline businesses performed well over the half – with total domestic profitability of just under $300 million. 

The Qantas Group strengthened its position substantially in the domestic market. 

Qantas Domestic reported an improvement of $170 million compared with the same period last year, with underlying earnings of $227 million. 

With its unrivalled network, frequencies, lounges, and Loyalty program, Qantas Domestic retained an overwhelming 80 percent revenue share of the Australian corporate market. 

 3. Looking at large corporate accounts, we recorded 113 renewals, 42 new accounts - with 16 of those won back from the competition - and just four lost. 

Customer satisfaction with Qantas Domestic was at record levels in the December quarter. 

The Jetstar Group continues to build scale and brand presence, flying to 66 destinations across 16 countries in the Asia-Pacific. 

It reported underlying earnings of $81 million, an improvement of $97 million on the same period last year. 

Domestically, Jetstar achieved earnings of $63 million, driven by improved yields and loads and a continued focus on managing costs and capacity Strong Jetstar International earnings of $51 million reflected the benefits of a network restructure and the roll-out of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner. 

Qantas’ investments in the Jetstar-branded airlines in Asia will generate long term returns in the world’s most important emerging markets. 

These airlines improved their performance in the first half, relative to the prior period, with a $13 million reduction in Qantas’ share of losses. 

Jetstar Asia in Singapore was profitable in the December quarter. Both Qantas and Jetstar have won a string of awards and recognition for product, service and safety. 

Qantas Loyalty continued its outstanding performance. 

With 10 per cent earnings growth, Loyalty achieved underlying earnings of $160 million. 

It attracted more than 400,000 new members in the half, to reach a new high of 10.5 million. 

Continued innovation and investment in programs like the online mall, Aquire, and Qantas Cash card, have helped grow, diversify and maximise the customer base. 

They have brought in a younger demographic, with 60 per cent of new members aged 36 or younger. 

Qantas Freight delivered underlying earnings of $54 million, a strong improvement which was driven by significant recovery in the international freight market - outweighing a challenging domestic market. 

Overall, this result demonstrates the continuing strength in our portfolio of integrated Qantas Group businesses. 

4. The Group’s financial position improved significantly with more than a billion dollars in cash generated from operations for the half, up nearly 45% on the prior year. 

The outlook for the Group’s operating environment in the second half of this financial year has improved after a turbulent period. Demand is mixed in the domestic market and steady in the international market. 

Importantly, market capacity – both domestic and international – is moderating and aligning more closely to demand. 

Yield and load factors have stabilised and are in the early stages of recovery. 

Lower fuel and Australian dollar values have, overall, improved our competitive position. 

While fuel prices produced a modest benefit in the first half, we expect fuel costs for the full year to be no more than $4 billion at current prices – which will be a significant boost to the bottom line in the second half. 

And we expect all operating segments to be profitable in the full year. 

Today’s results are good and we take pride in our progress so far. 

Transformation has been central to our recovery and we will drive it forward with all our energy. 

It is about making ourselves strong and resilient through the ups and downs of economic cycles. 

Over the next two years we will further strengthen the Qantas position. 

We will be a company able to withstand tough times, capitalise on the good times, and deliver sustainable and attractive long term returns to our shareholders. 

We will be a stronger integrated Group portfolio where each business complements the others, generating sustainable returns through the cycle. 

We will always be the airline that represents the best of the Australian way of life. 

And today we can see a bright future for this great Australian company. 

Thank you. (Alan Joyce Speaking)

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What the highlight in yellow indicates, Qantas in the next four months can be convinced on completing its commitment by ordering its options, 50 787-9's, as some (20) are already reserved for production slots if acted upon. If Qantas does jump on its option plan, it will not lose out on pricing of approximately $187 million US per copy as rumored, otherwise missing it they only can expect receiving any 787-9 during the next 5-7 years with a stated Boeing list price of about $250 million US,. It must not miss its option deadlines as it would miss out on millions in savings from the original pricing commitment. Alan Joyce sounds optimistic about Qantas closing the deal,  His vicarious and enthusiastic Half Year Report almost says it, "We are really buying some Boeing"! Firming the option during the next six months awaits the slot machine cherries to line up. Qantas would start receiving 787-9's by 2017 as it goes for it in a non gambling position. 

This ordering sequence would mesh well with Jetstar's 787-8 delivery completions and Qantas domestic and international passenger growth. Plus its other stabilisation plans. A Boeing purchase, through its option of 50 787-9's, intersects well with Qantas' overall goals for its different operations. 

Jetstar has demonstrated a financial improvement generated from its own business position. If Jetstar had not gained altitude with its 787-8, Qantas would have forced a sale of the Jetstar brand. However, the reverse has happened, Jetstar is mopping up the market in the region while Qantas waits in a standby slot. That is soon to change in the fall. Qantas will close the deal and not lose its 787-9 assembly slots, as it will have its banking in a row after completing one year operating with the new business plan from all operations. The one year mark ends during June 30, 2015.

Boeing 787 Net orders Jump Up By 30 Today, Hainan?

Could it be Hainan or somebody else? Its unidentified!




2015 Net Orders663-734110

Customers737747767777787Total
Alaska Airlines6----6
All Nippon Airways5---38
GECAS2----2
Korean Airlines---5-5
Ryanair3----3
Silk Way Airlines-3---3
Unidentified Customer(s)55--23289
2015 Gross Orders713-735116
Changes-5----1-6
2015 Net Orders663-734110



737747767777787Total
I think its Hainan since it documented a stock advice-commitment for 30 787-9, the other could be anyone.
Changes since last update: 31 new orders (Unidentified Customer(s) one 737 and 30 787s). Identified All Nippon Airways order for three 787s previously listed as unidentified. In the changes category, reduced 737 net orders by one.
 Winging It: 787 Program Data sheet for the 787 (adjusted with Boeings updates).

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Total
Beg Backlog 736 778 773 891 842 736
Delivered 3 46 65 114 30 258
Ordered 45 41 183 65 34 368
Ending Backlog 778 773 891 842 846 846
Back-Log Delta 42 -5 118 -49 4 110
Total Boeing 787 Order Book
Ordered Delivered Back-Log
Total All Time 787 1104 258 846