The FAA has been
supportive of the 787, and is left with no choice but to ground the aircraft as it tries to sort out what the final answer is for the aircraft. At this
stage of, "no one’s knows the answer", but many have a good idea what may be involved
with a failed system, concept or design. This has entered the insanity
stage of any investigation. Definition of "insanity" goes by the
rule of thumb, “You do the same thing over, and over again, expecting a different
result," becomes a form of insanity in its purist form.
Now we have the FAA
shutdown of the 787. The flow chart of problem solving has just started.
Glossary of terms used
in the investigation.
- Risk
- Inconsistent
- Anomaly
- Retired
- Assumption
- Pass/Fail
- Theory
- Tests
- Positive (is a negative result and something must change)
- Negative (is a positive result and Boeing does nothing)
- Lithium-Ion
- And so forth.....
Back To Basics:
1. The Boeing Company, has a Theory that you could build an all-electric airplane and dispense of
substantial weight, through the elimination of hydraulics systems that make a
plane fly heavier.
2. It has a second
theory of building an all plastic airplane eliminating additional
weight because plastic is lighter, stronger and more corrosion resistant than
aluminum and other metals found in older aircraft.
3. It has a third theory
of wrapping all its systems up into a core technology which runs the aircraft
through a central process corridor and manages its systems
without unnecessary duplication or wasted weight and space.
The savings on weight makes way for necessary duplication of
systems. These three theories alone save the aircraft immense weight
and improves fuel burn and saves lots of money to operate the aircraft over its
competitors.
In the theory stage,
each layer of theory is separated with assumptions that gives life
support to that theory during its gestation period. Each assumption has legs
until tests are complete. Then all assumptions are pulled completely out of the
structure, and replaced by real live tests affirming that everything is Okay.
Live test are done over, and over again, until the Company and Governing
Bodies are convinced the 787 is air-worthy. Then the Governing Body issues
an airworthiness certificate to fly.
Now, the Governing Body
is going back on the same ground worked-up in the test phase prior its airworthiness certification, because batteries exploded, generators stopped and
electrical panels failed! The 787 will sit until there is answer.
It is good to remember
that the Boeing tests models did not exhibit a propensity of smoking, burning
and exploding batteries. It is important to note it had a fire in
an electric control panel on a test 787, during the last stages of
test that caused a six month delay until a redesign of that panel.
Even with all the testing changing and adjusting, Boeing had an extra
three years to get it right. Those test aircraft did not have electrical
failures, and were pushed to the extreme in speed, height and slowness.
They turned, dived and shut off engines. Boeing overloaded systems
and then overloaded systems again, but no failures like the airlines have just now
experience, all at once. Even though they were flying standard milk runs, and not using the aircraft under extreme flight conditions. The faulting aircraft are new and have not flown 4,700 hours like the test copies. So its not a duration problem, its an upfront problem for new production aircraft. The FAA doesn't have answer neither does Boeing.
So the Airplane referee has blown its whistle and called a time out for Boeing. This is not "group hug time, for team building", it is group therapy time,
until the insanity stops.
Here is a second list
called the "Usual Suspects".
- Are there some remaining assumptions not retired, that should not be
still alive supporting supporting theory?
- Are there changes in electrical components from
manufacturers not accounted for?
- Is there a flaw not considered by anybody that has not
had its day in court?
- Are Manufacturers inconsistent with key components?
- What is the fly in the Theory ointment?
The above are are brief points to look at
for a big problem!
The below are,
FAA Advantages:
- However, dare I mention the investigation teams have complete air-crafts to inspect?
- They are not wasting time to reconstruct.
- They know what to look at from day one; the Lithium-Ion Battery and its complementing electrical systems.
Boeing has a plethora of
data to examine systems, or better stated: people, places or things, in the Noun category.
The FAA has a multitude of to-do in
the Verb category, burning, smoking and failing.
The Boeing's Board of Directors are
tasked with Adverbs, efficiently, effectively and by all means quickly.
The report writers
are assigned Adjectives from the FAA findings. Scorched, Swollen, and
Seared.
This is what Boeing is
up against where words become just as effective as an actual disaster when an
actual disaster has just happened and now the words. Boeing is having another near miss on the same journey. The
FAA who is an objective organization is now subjecting Boeing to having its
feet held to the fire, until a conclusive result is obtained. It is good
to have this shut down. It is good that they know where to look, and it
further good, all parties are extremely motivated to make it a totally
safe airplane.
Money movers who make their money, moving money from stock to stock are jumping out of Boeing's extra large aircraft windows. People who are sane and wise hold the line, because this story is a long way from finishing. They are not doing those same thing over and over again expecting a different result. Boeing and the FAA will not look at the Same Stuff Different Day either. They will have to look beyond that, to purrfect the 787.
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