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Tuesday, August 6, 2013

The 787-10 Is Not About The A-350, Its About Check Mate

The 787-10 move on aviation's chess  board is about check mating the regional and high density route potential, cornering the market. It is known as -10 to followers of aviation's progressions. This -10  will serve all the potential high density regions of the world such as China, Malaysia, and India. The aircraft will pack in customers Like South West Airlines does in the United States cross country routes but only with a larger scale than what Southwest offers. Instead of 160 seats on the 737 Max, serving 320 million US citizens from coast to coast. Boeing intends to send over the most efficient, high capacity capacity aircraft it can to 1.4 billion people from coast to the Himalayas. I see the relevant correlation plainly as a scale-like enhancement in the planet`s most densely populated  areas of the world.

The -10 will move 340 passengers with work-man like efficiency, better than any other aircraft in the world. Plus seat them in unparalleled comfort and passenger advantages on the market serving those high density regions of the world. The up scaled efficiency is marked with MTOW tonnage adjusted to maximizing range with the right fuel weight for achieved range of flight within a customer's own airlines internal network of routes, like in the China market potential.

The -10 stretched is the -9, but with more length, and the fuel capacity of the -9. Therefore, it will fly 7,000 miles, and not the 8,500 miles of the -9. Since the -10 is a revenue hauler for higher density markets, it has a long legged range in most of the two isle world (this range covers 90% of the twin isle routes), instead of the all world -9.

What are those revenue markers? Markers are the designs for 323 passengers in three classes, where the -9 is designed for 290 in three classes, an airline exec will note, "we can fill more than 323 on a -10 for daily routes transcending China, and further out regions!

The 787-8, with Thompson Air, currently hauls 291 passenger across the ocean on its 787-8, that is generally rated for 240 passengers in 3 classes. However, it uses a two class model of Premium economy and Plus Economy with respective room of 45" (inch), and  38" seat pitch dynamics. Most airlines today are lucky to have 34" seat pitch dynamics in economy class as found on a conventional single isle aircraft.

Using the Thompson Airline Model for China or a Singapore Airline on a -10, that will fly 7,000 miles, is easy to seat passengers in a high density array with about 340 tickets punched at the gate. The -10 now becomes a super craft which is immensely up scaled from how a Max will be used in the 4,000 mile range markets, where the Max carries only about half the passenger seats that a China or Singapore customer requires. The -10 will face off with the A-350 9,s and 10's. How will that play out? Since neither aircraft has reached the market yet, there  is plenty of back room design tweaking going on at this stage. But, the big issue that will affect the customer market, is how much added weight is put on the A-350 for fuel storage cells, and fuel dead weight as its weight penalty? The A-350 wants to pack on the fuel in a competition of long legged routes and will try to push the fuel economy envelop at the same time, in order to meet or exceed the Boeing product for the 787 family of aircraft.

Meeting or equaling 787 economics, retains loyal customers for Airbus. Beating Boeing with higher fuel economy per seat, will steal from Boeing's base of customers. On the other hand if Boeing holds the line on operational efficiency it will win the day with its 787 campaign. The unknown Knight riding the gallant stead has yet to appear in this "B" movie classic. That is the 777-X! We have all heard about this knight in shinning armor, but we will not know if it can win the joust that will change the airplane wars. It will though do just that, if it lives up to expectations, and squash the whole Airbus scheme of world dominance as an air framer. Putting the airline wars in a quasi fantasy and realistic point as in a "metaphor speak", is very appropriate dimension of reality.


The unknown night will joust this fall on the Arabian peninsula. The reality, can Boeing pull off a victory and unlock  the 787 from Airbus' hold over Europe? The answer is in the final chapter of the 787 saga. The ending has not been disclosed, so I will leave any reader with this thought. If boasting counts in the game of Horse Shoes and Grenades, meaning getting close to a ringer with its verbal grenades, Boeing will win the game of Horseshoes. In summary, the 777-X is just as important to the 787 program as its execution of the the 787 build plans. If it all comes together as spoken by Boeing (boasts), then Airbus will have made an "in vain" attempt in knocking that "Knight" off the horse, and will not or cannot stop the 787 checkmate.

Monday, August 5, 2013

Charleston Is Late To The Manufacturing Date

By now most people recognize one thing. Like a kids at the candy store, they can't move fast or they will drop the candy before they reach the store door door. Everett has it down after five years. They got figured out how to get out the jaw breakers from bouncing off the factory floor. The Puget Sound Business Journal, has brought to the attention of the Northwest region that Jobs are still a pretty good bet if you work in aviation.  The Charleston plant can't cut it when they need to push candy out the door.

Will Boeing reach 60 787's this year? That is the multi-billion dollar question!  The answer is in some production meeting somewhere between August and September. The airplane marketing gurus will tell anyone anything just to reassure VP's and Airline CEO's.  Charleston will grow up and punch out the 787-8,-9-10 at some time. Or they or they will genuflect to the Max. However, the main thing is to reach 100 and above  units of 787 flying around the world by the end of the year.

Those following the 787 saga should take into consideration projections are hopeful thoughts that would make a perfect Boeing World, and not to bet the farm on hopeful thoughts even through a Certified Balance Sheet or Audit which they gladly paste onto its purchased prospectus. Boeing can't control the weather yet, but can issue raincoats in large abundance. The real focus is not on graphs, slopes and tendency. It is on those pesky gum-balls rolling across the factory floor as they head towards the delivery door. The kids in the candy store, don't think they are being watched by anyone and the big-shots pretend to not notice and  keep on talking to anyone who will listen at social gatherings and press conferences.

However, therefore and so forth.... The children of the store are very mature  and will put Charleston on Aviation's Map. After-all this is Charleston's third year (third grade) at this and Everett has had its graduation ceremony with the 787. Proud parents that gloat over its progeny often overstate performance of a little league budding star as if he were in the majors. Consistently exposing a belief that this Charleston kid is going to pitch a twenty game win streak next year during his fourth grade season. This will eventually become a true fact, but has to suffer some reality checks along the way.  This Boeing Parent will upgrade its own video cameras each year as Charleston continue towards a full ride scholarship into the majors. That will happen as more money is applied to its development in Charleston. The Everett child need not worry yet as it will not have to give up its bedroom and move out for this Charleston little brother upstart. Payton Manning had a similar little brother perception problem, but he eventually moved to Denver and is checking his Hall of Fame digs as he consistently lets it fly a mile high.

Friday, August 2, 2013

No Matter What, The 787 Battery Has Become A Non Issue

I almost want, another 787 battery to act up in commercial operations. As grizzly or harsh that statement may sound, it is not a wish for passengers or airlines that it would want to experience such an event. It is my sincerest hope this does not happen on a commercial flight. "I almost", is best experienced on a test aircraft and not on an airline in service. Boeing needs to fly its test copy as often as possible with the fix. Especially from Japan to Boston, over and over again until it gets a "Run Away Battery Event" during the life of a battery under operation. Fly it from Japan to Boston with Wi Fi blaring tunes, and ovens cooking up a storm and Airport ground crews filling-er up on Jet-A, over and over again for a year. Take company people for a ride and let them do what passengers do on long trips, play with stuff on board. Take new flight crews in-training that will serve the ever curious test passengers on their quest to push new buttons on the aircraft and have luggage gorillas stow the luggage as some kind of football event. Make that battery system work through its paces in hopes that it will light-up when at rest or even in flight.

If Boeing can get or replicate the "runaway event", then it will answer many and more questions, because the system they have built should recover that battery before it destroys itself resting at the Jetway. Boeing may remove that battery with a mountain of lifetime data before it incinerates itself.


  • Boeing could prove to everyone, steps taken are excellent for preventing any unknown root cause.
  • Boeing would demonstrate steps taken will control any catastrophic battery event like a total meltdown.
  • If a test event arises, Boeing will find the root cause and make the electronic changes to the system as an official solution.
  • Move staff back and forth on long routes, ensuring optimum exposure to traveling public, let the staff critic the experience.
  • Pay the airlines to service the airplane.
  • Pay the airlines, to staff a cabin crew for training.
  • Commit to flying that test 787 everyday for a year.
  • Hide your testing from the participating crew and passengers as you monitor normal operations in transit.
  • This a proof on concept moment for any airline wishing to participate, and how they intend to operate this Boeing aircraft, While at no cost to customers participating. Make it a Win-Win proposition.
  • Operate this aircraft as if it is running an airline and not just testing, testing, and testing.
  • Having an event with daily operations may lead to the root cause and solve the problem.

Putting to rest the ever annoying press as it lamely limps lethargically, as did in the 7L87 days.

Starting each headline with unrelenting content. The Three Year Blah, Blah- Is Beating The Competition." 

Or, "The 7L87 Has Completed Two Years Of Service on Customer Flights"

Now We have: "An Engine Oil Filter Is Changed Out Because Of Indicator Light. This Is Not Battery Related"  Do I now have to say Duh!

Next year The Headlines will go as follows: "The 787-9 Carries Its First Passengers, Coffee Spilled Is Not Related To Last Year's Battery Explosions"

All headlines lead to calamity, making the 787 sound like the most fatal, most crashed aircraft in the history of Yellow Journalism.  European press will do a great job of ("covering" over) the A350 race to last place.

Now on to the Fake headlines:

Faulty Dimmer Switch Has Been Located In The Tail Section Of ANA 7L87 Not related To Last Year's Battery Explosions Conducted At Japanese Battery Manufacturer Of Car Batteries 

A Dimmer Switch Is Missing In This Tail Section of Another Aircraft Type and Airline

Even Though This is What A Tail Section Of A 7L87 Looks Like Floating In Water, It's not a 787 Tail Section, But It Could Be, and Could Be Near its 787 Battery Case Directly Below The Surface. But who knew, but I made you look, and think bad things about the 787 and its batteries being installed late on the 3 year late 787(required "late and battery reference on all news articles whether its related or not").

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Kudos Aspire Aviation On Its Boeing Report

SPECIAL REPORT: THE “ONE BOEING” LEAN & MEAN PROFIT MACHINE


I cannot offer a better or more composite offering than what "Aspire" has done with the Boeing report for this years aviation Juggernaut, The Boeing Company.  Even though I am a big fan of the journal, it has done a substantial review on my favorite Manufacturing giant. Without further ado I will post a couple of teasers and this headline link above, concerning the Boeing Machinery of profit.

Aspire Aviation Teaser #1:

"
  • 787-10 MTOW might be increased
  • 777X next customer meeting in September
  • 777X engine thrust may increase again
  • Boeing should be more willing to offer discounts on 777X
  • Boeing should outsource 777X CFRP wing to Japan to cut costs, retain customers
  • Too much “breathing room” already given to Airbus A350-1000
  • No door modification on 737 MAX
  • Ryanair 737 MAX 8 could accommodate 199 passengers by “rearranging doors”
  • 737 MAX orders on par with A320neo: 1,495 versus 1,579 in 23 months since launch
  • easyJet order lost on lowball pricing in middle of US$30-40 million apiece by Airbus"

Teaser #2:

"The major achievement during the quarter at the defence unit was the beginning of assembly of the first KC-46A aerial refuelling tanker for the US Air Force (USAF), whose first wing spar was loaded on June 26. The loading of the 82 feet 5 inches long component symbolised the success of the “One Boeing” concept with the KC-46A tanker, based on the 767-200ER airframe, passing the critical design review (CDR) milestone in July, much earlier than its US$4.9 billion engineering, manufacturing and development (EMD) contract stipulated, which calls for the deliveries of 18 KC-46As by 2017 with a first flight in early 2015 and the first delivery in 2017. This bodes well for Boeing to achieve profitability on the hard-won programme for 179 aerial refuelling tankers that saw Boeing lowballing its bid and making a loss early on in the programme which could amount to as much as US$700 million above the US$4.9 billion ceiling for the first 18 examples while relying on the remainder to make profits."

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Boeing Placates The Press Over Plausible Briefing Of Shuffle

What's in the cards for Boeing is its plausible explanation on moving generals around the factory board. A greater indicator than anything, is it signals the bringing of the 777X to the tipping point of "Go for it", meaning the 777X Generals are now on board before that ship sails.

Sinnett To Leave 787 Program as Boeing Shuffles Engineering Roles

So this is how the Dance card stacks up as partners change in this two step shuffle.

Production Development,= PD  Bolden is promotional Move for affect.
Chief Project Engineer    =PE

                  Leaves   From                                         Job Goes to 
Mike Sinnett, 787 VP-PE >>>Bob Whittington, lands 787 VP-PE
Bob Whittington, 777 VP-PE  >>>Mike Sinnett, floats to 777 VP-PD 
Larry Schneider, 777 VP-PD >>Larry Schneider, slides to 777 VP-PE


The quick analysis are that all leadership hands are on deck for the launch of the 777-X with leadership beginning its acclimation to its new roles for the launch of the 777X project in the late fall. The team will be on full operational readiness for that launch.  Sennet with 787 lessons learned and Schneider with his 777 type knowledge will move the gears seamlessly forward, with its new innovation installed on the 777X, by those who are weathered from the 787 learning curve.

Boeing continues to shape its team from the top down with proven talent across the board. A move to the 787 from the 777, signals maturation of the project as well as new, and well experienced leadership that it requires. The change of leadership forms the change management structure for both the 787 and 777X projects when its announced,and continuous improvement for remedial adjustments ongoing in the 787 saga, as it enters its final shake- downs. Boeing will be already six months ahead with its 777X team in place prior to the ATO announcement. A maturing 787 aircraft receives proven leadership coming from the 777-300 project team, and the 777X gains an experienced big picture leadership VP for the untested 777-X project, with Mike Sinnett at the helm. 

Boeings go team has started forming in the midst of all the distractions with the 787 plane. Those distraction are already abating at this time, as Boeing's management of 787 production, parts and systems tightened up on the 787.   
I can feel the excitement is building later this fall when Boeing rolls on the 777-8x and 777-9X announcements.

Friday, July 26, 2013

Liftndrag Scrapbook Feature The Qantas A380 Incident in 2010

Full Report Link

How The Pilot Brought In Crippled Superjumbo

Unconventional Approach: Landing an Airbus A380 After an Engine Explosion

"The coolheaded captain credited with saving a Qantas Airways Ltd. QAN.AU +0.78% super jumbo jet after a fiery engine explosion in 2010 relied on some distinctly unconventional piloting.
In the midst of the crisis, with the crippled Airbus A380 leaking fuel while he maintained a holding pattern and the crew tried to sort through a torrent of computer-generated cockpit alerts, Capt. Richard de Crespigny switched tactics. Rather than trying to decipher the dozens of alerts to identify precisely which systems were damaged, as called for by the manufacturer's manuals and his own airline's emergency procedures, he turned that logic on its head—shifting his focus to what was still working."
*********************************************
The pilots solution confronted with Sensory overload in a crises, was to shut down the damage, and focus on what can we fly with, and go for what is working? An old fighter pilot mentality arose saving the passengers lives while ignoring all the bells, whistles and horns going off in the cockpit, which confused the fly by committee crew into action. These bell and whistles are supposed to aid crew not confuse the crew during a catastrophic event that was unfolding in seconds. The pilot was on his evaluation flight and had no advantage from any user manuals for the A380 engine event, and its ongoing total system failures. It was just instinct, logic and skill overriding the Airbus A-380 emergency cacophony of noise and confusion and hundreds of simultaneous messages.

He brought in the A380 and wrote a new book for aviation on how to handle human sensory overload and save the aircraft and its passengers.  The design engineers have taken note, and changed how information is handled in all new aircraft under development today, for both Airbus and Boeing. In fact it would be great to inform the crew what they do have for a plan B exigency drill. Having system lights that go green during an exigency event, where taxing the nominal system needs instant clarity, so the crew can quickly move to back to flying or gliding, by using the green signal lite systems and its capabilities instead of trying to decipher any red coded systems initially.  A red light shouldn't continuously squawk incessantly, but have a system cut out from noise after 30 seconds and then blink red thereafter, until the crew can address at that the moment. A pilot can decide quickly what will fly the aircraft or if the pilot can assume a glide path for a recovery landing.   
This is just one thought for flight management. The main thing is to: 

  • simplify pilot options of a hugely complex aircraft, 
  • give the crew committee the best information during decision making,
  • And present best available options with priorities. 
Similar to a A-1 Abrams battle tank with its battlefield targeting computer systems. Target by seeking, the most important item first and work through to a solution. It is more important to not have the cabin squawking all at once while the crew is in momentary shock and is forming an initial plan of action. Maintain a professional composure during a time of finding options, where seconds really do count. Taking on best information to keep the plane flying is more important than shocking the team with simultaneous alarms. Ultimate decision making is not the computer's job, since it is only an information source, but assists the flight with pilot inputs. The Pilot and crew need all the information managed, and on the table to make the best decision.



Image result for A-380 engine explosion

Reputation Dilemma Hits The 787

Back in Highschool when I was growing up. My parents placed high on the list my own reputation, as the thing that must be protected by being consistently a good person. Of course at age 16, I could not and would not understand that principal in life until the process of living settles that talking point; establishing  itself in real life experience. Remember back when a certain girl in your glass went out with an athletic type braggart, and he comes back with a brag explaining on Monday, "what an easy conquest he had made over said person". Twenty years later at the High School reunion, the sneers, sideways glances and whispers still remain about some forgotten date that some Jock made, whether it is true or not is not important. A reputation ruined then; where it remains still ruined, about a mother, wife and solid friend to her husband.

Boeing's own date of the 787's entry into service has suffered such a calamity as news sites sell self importance and give an expert copy/paste opinion without weighing the big picture. It chortled for five years about the 787's delivery failure of being "7-Late-7" about the three years period of being late. Now the press is currently reporting about every event, even though these events are a serious concern for the aircraft, but in a sinister light casting doom for the aircraft. Airbus, many years ago experienced a total hull during a demonstration flight in front of cameras killing all of its crew in fiery crash. The systems that day on board, countermanded the pilots intuitive response for a stall condition. The system thought it was landing, and the system flew it into the trees. After that, overrides where installed for its newly conceived A320's and pilots.



However dogging the 787 is in the news maybe of interest to most and important to report, but what is really missing from these instant reports is a perspective for the aircraft. Comparing it to the historical data base of aircraft flying today. After the A300 came the A319,A320, A330,A340 and A380. A remarkable string of success for Airbus. Even though the A330 suffered a catastrophic hull loss over the Atlantic not so long ago, on flight #442, from Brazil to Paris, they kept moving forward in spite of the Press' admonitions over Transatlantic flight with a faulty pitot tube and systems over rides, inspite of pilot options it plunged a long way into the sea anyways, with all onboard perrishing. A high price for aviation is still being paid for what we take for granted in today's air travel.

Having stated this thought, it is important not just to parrot the news, but do ones own reporting by placing perspective into each news report. Just the press didn't do that when the 787 was late. Each article back then regarding advances, accomplishments and refinements, was followed by an obligatory cut and paste snip " The Late 787 by X months." Each statement  seamed to give insane thought and validity by recitation time, after time no matter what the article was talking about.

An article would detail out what accomplishment was made by the 787 and copy paste in the "The Reputation Statement" by adding for the thousandth time, that a 787 is now 19 months late. Next month the readers would be reminded that is is 20 months late until 3 plus year where one can occasionally find a time quote.  After all when Boeing made that original delivery announcement it was intoxicated with it own success of presenting a plastic body for the world, on July 7, 2007. This company drunk too much from its own innovation and set its feet in the cement of the press time machine by saying it would fly by October 2007. "Woah dudes you've been over served at the paint hanger. The clock starting running at Boeing's own stagger out the door. Now the reputation of Boeing is brought up at every news article. For the next ten years the public will have to read about fire smoke and mishap; as if that article is about fire, smoke and mishap, when the headlines print out the "787 Has Superb Performance". A copy paste paragraph of fire smoke and mishap will run counter of the lead headline by reciting it out like a 787 date night reputation, which it will have to endure for the rest of its life as its spouted out by the goofy press class reunions.

Boeing is working through this quantum leap of technology with a careful review of its workmanship and its suppliers workmanship, as it should in the manufacture of all aircraft. Flying itself is dangerous and our society takes it for granted and press reports flying as a norm while giving sensational impact for every part failure, which has be occurring all along with older models of aircraft makes. Perspective is that piece of reputation gossip missing from the press dialogue. Knowing that the 787 has the same or similar track record that the 777, and the Airbus aircraft is important so the press reports how it compares with order models when airlines are flying the most complex aircraft in aviation's history. This airplane is not that soiled or tarnished than all its predecessors. She will make a great travel companion for years to come.

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Boeing's 2nd Quarter March To The Bank

So much detail and so little time to express where Boeing is today. Since Boeing is disclosing its big economic footprint forward in a swamp of fires, mishaps, and crashes during the second quarter. This will be more about orders sales and accomplishments, which promises to bolster Boeing's world position in the financial markets, as it wills its way through with a manufacturing swagger. Boeing builds an immense portfolio of military items far exceeding its European counterpart Airbus. Space and military is the dark horse many people forget to think about when buying Boeing stock.

****
The company's commercial-plane division sold 169 planes during the quarter, including 16 Dreamliners. The company had quarterly revenue of $13.6 billion with earnings of nearly $1.5 billion or 10.7%, " 

"Asked about criticism from rival Airbus about the Dreamliner, McNerney said the plane has had no more problems than the popular 777 when it was introduced. "The reliability of this airplane is about the same as the reliability that we've had with new models, including the most successful wide-body we've ever introduced, the 777," McNerney said. "There are a lot of things that happen early." 
Bart Jansen, USA TODAY 1:23 p.m. EDT July 24, 2013"


****
2nd Quarter Order Numbers
5201040570
737777787Total
Order DateCustomerModel SeriesOrders
26-Apr-2013Business Jet / VIP Customer(s)777-200LR1
23-Apr-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-MAX50
April Total51
07-May-2013KLM - Royal Dutch Airlines777-300ER1
06-May-2013Qatar Airways777-300ER2
13-May-2013Southwest Airlines737-8005
13-May-2013Southwest Airlines737-MAX30
21-May-2013SWISS777-300ER6
08-May-2013Turkish Airlines737-80020
08-May-2013Turkish Airlines737-MAX50
21-May-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-80040
30-May-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-MAX5
21-May-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-MAX61
07-May-2013United Air Lines737-900ER2
13-May-2013WestJet737-80010
May Total232
19-Jun-2013CIT Leasing Corporation737-MAX30
18-Jun-2013Ryanair737-800175
18-Jun-2013Singapore Airlines787-1030
19-Jun-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-80020
19-Jun-2013Unidentified Customer(s)737-MAX20
03-Jun-2013United Air Lines737-900ER2
18-Jun-2013United Air Lines787-1010
June Total287


First Quarter 2013 Orders 
737747777787Total
15631942220

 Second Quarter 2013 Orders Total
737777787Total
5201040570
   YTD 2013 Orders Total
2013 Orders Detail
737747777787Total
67632982790
2013 Aircraft Sold Equals Aircraft Delivered

First Quarter 2013 Deliveries Detail
737747767777787Total
10264241137
Second Quarter 2013 Deliveries Detail
737747767777787Total
116682316169
 2013 Deliveries Detail
737747767777787Total
21812124717306
Final Score Card: 790 Orders and 306 Sales/deliveries. 790-306= 484 net backlog added! Just In First half of 2013! Order to Sales Ratio is a + 2.58/1. A further slippage ratio of backlog. If Boeing gains parity on the single isle market in the Max vs Neo battle, then Boeing is forced to expand production. However its just not a Max vs Neo battle, Boeing has taken significant orders for its NG stable of aircraft in 2013 (Ryanair) not shrinking the 737NG backlog as much as predicted. In fact if one factors in the NG orders with the Max this year, then the Neo does not have that subtial of a lead since Airbus has taken orders from its preferred customer's during the last three years. Airbus orders for the Neo will slump a bit as the order book turf wars will now began in earnest for who really has the winning aircraft.  A 13% improvement for the Max performance over the NG is a bitter pill to swallow for Airbus since the old NG outperformed the old A320 to start with in the first place. When customers begin to populate airspace with the best airplane and reorders begin on this new line of aircraft a clearer picture will emerge in competitive airline travel markets.

Boeing needs to up productivity in order to take on more orders. Airlines can't order equipment 8 years in advance compensating Boeing for this dilemma. Airbus is rapidly approaching a backlog saturation as is Boeing experiencing. Boeing needs to build more facility infrastructure in the next five years at both Charleston and Puget Sound or expand into Southern California where they have a footprint. The decisions coming in 2014 will tip Boeing's hand on what it will do if they gain another 1,000 units ordered over its deliveries or the sales pace.  Boeing's world outlook on demand is starting to materialize. They are late in the effort to keep up with demand. However since they addressed this concern back in 2011. I would look for plant and facility announcement to occur in 2014 after the 777X is launched. Puget Sound and Charleston will not be able to satisfy customers and the order book, if this trend continues, one more year of having a desperate orders/sales ratio continuously running into the plus, and without correcting the Ratio with adding further production facilities is a great concern. Lead your own research off with Boeing's public record. The devil is in the details. Thank you Randy Tinseth for the information on this link.

We forecast a long-term demand for 35,280 new airplanes, valued at $4.8 trillion. We project that 14,350 of these new airplanes (41 percent of the total new deliveries) will replace older, less efficient airplanes, reducing the cost of air travel and decreasing carbon emissions. The remaining 20,930 airplanes will be for fleet growth, stimulating expansion in emerging markets and innovative airline business models. Approximately 24,670 airplanes (70 percent of new deliveries) will be single-aisle airplanes, reflecting growth in emerging markets such as China, and the continued expansion of low-cost carriers throughout the world. Widebody share will also increase, from 23 percent of today's fleet to 24 percent in 2032. The 8,590 new widebody airplanes will allow airlines to continue expansion into more international markets.

The Pie In Sky Projection Assures Plant capacity Will Change