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Sunday, July 21, 2013

The 787 Non Systemic Causal Fire

Is an important milestone for the aircraft moving forward. Fire is a result of a nonconforming installation of a very proven part on the 787. The FAA responds by ordering inspections on all 787's for this area as a validation that all 787 will be safe to fly. It is important to understand, that even though there have been several fires for various electrical reasons, such as Lithium-Ion battery, electrical panels and various parts failures as shown by system indicators, this last fire with the ELT, is not in the relevant range of those items listed but indicates an abnormal condition from its installation. The battery case of the ELT can withstand submersion and is designed to withstand a humidity in a saturated environment. Humidity occurring on a shutdown system, causing a short and then fire requires a multiple of conditions. The FAA and European investigators understand this well and honed in on the ELT area as the source of the fire. The high humidity, is a contributing  factor, a crimped wire another event both of which in tandem would make for an awkward condition for electrical shorting. Could a crimped wire caught in a battery compartment cover, that is supposed to be sealed from water or humidity, cause the unsealed area to have an electrical short in the containment area? I don't know, just speculating over press information. A bad practice of mine and a plausible indulgence when blogging. However, it sounds like a human error on one of 68 flying copies of a much beleaguered aircraft with multiple hiccups.

Boeing has been truly fortunate with the lessons learned and no catastrophic loss. They are rounding the bend for the home stretch of a fully inducted and working 787 without chinks in the armour. The customers have been truly extraordinary with its loyalty and patience. This is a testament where the 787 potential recognized outweighs this shaking out of its technology. Another indicator light on, another return to base, is another day. It also becomes another to-do list item back at the factory. The book of to do's from concept stage to operational reality, is getting thicker by the week, every time something lights up in its system. The great thing if you can call it "great", is that system indicators are keeping this aircraft safely flying. Without them, a problem could advance to a irrecoverable situation. The miracle of the 787 is its vast systems, enabling the 787 a safe landing 500-1000 miles later, or taking it back to its origin. The fuel pumps indicates failure and systems manage the return flight back to the maintenance center of its origin. The airplane specifies what part is needed before it lands or what system check is required. This becomes a negative headline when in fact the airplane is doing what its designed to do, keep it flying. The press reports another Boeing calamity.  Soon there will be a hundred of these airplanes out the Boeing door. Each manufacturing segment of numbered aircraft is better than the previous group as it arrives at the big Boeing doors. Every flying copy of the 787 is in a continuous improvement mode and stays ahead of the next aircraft loaded in the factory. By the time that factory aircraft reaches the flight line, it is equal to the ones flying, but better than it was first designed from the plans laid out at the other end of the factory.




Is it comforting to know that Boeing is doing just in time upgrades on its flying fleet and transposing those lessons learned immediately to the factory floor or the Paine Field flight line? Yes! Does this mean Boeing is testing its aircraft at the expense of its customer? The answer is no, because the systems installed makes it a safe airplane. It flies like it is designed. A million or more parts work together until one of the million or more parts indicates a fault.  Fires are a big concern by everybody, since fires can be sourced from a variety of conditions or systems, as it is now experiencing. Are these problems predictable and part of the risk of a new airplane? Once again it is No! Boeing does not even come close to wanting this publicity, expecting its customers to shake out new airplane bugs. They spent ten of thousands of hours testing everything to a satisfactory reliance and confidence with the 787. Its goal was to deliver a turnkey aircraft that customers would love for its ease of having it in its fleets.  The customer sees the possibilities and its mind boggling on what it can do with its business model. So what is the problem?

The problem is the quantum leap Boeing has taken on this endeavor. No matter how diligent it conceived this aircraft, the real time operations with its own manufacturing partners (both in the supplier phase and customer phase), are reaching a point on the home stretch, where more than 68 million parts on its 68 flying copies are shaking out the weak links, that Boeing did not or could not be aware of during the test phase. They deduced they had a solid aircraft during first delivery. Now the manufacturing and suppliers are being tested by the customer in the field. The safety envelopes designed into the aircraft are protecting its customers, until lessons learned catches up with the 787. The confidence level "is shaken but not stirred". The only way to get to this point is through redundancy, preparation and execution. HoneyWell  immediately fell on its sward by offering to remove every affected 787 ELT part.  Every manufacturer supplying the 787 should have a 787 parts contingency plan even though that is probably the case. The aircraft will gracefully settle into its niche. A truly remarkable aircraft.

Friday, July 19, 2013

Temperature Rising With The Humidity

Boeing has long preached that higher humidity with plastic construction will make for a pleasant journey with 6,000 feet of air pressure in the cabin. Could this very same higher humidity with condensation in the Honeywell locator beacon contribute to a causal shorting in the beacon device with its electronics? An interesting concept because this opens up multiple questions relating to condensation issues in a higher humidity environment on pressurized cabins. I cannot speculate on the scenario for the recent fire on the Ethiopian  787.  It is though a question needing answering to all its customers. Are all electronics and electrical systems protected with higher humidity found in cities like London or Seattle? I am sure Boeing has addressed this many times, but what if a supplier like Honeywell overlooked what could happen if droplets of water form inside the Locator casement and leads to an electrical shorting and subsequent fire. A possibility that should be answered in the lab test for this device. The greater question is how many systems are vulnerable, whether its a third party components or pieces in an electronic environment stitched together with multiple or various manufactured parts from third parties?  I am sure Boeing has an answer for that with its due diligence in its engineering of the 787. However, it would be important for Boeing to do a piece by piece evaluation of each of its electrically driven systems and find if condensation or higher humidity can find its way in to short out that functionality.

You know condensation in London, is a multi billion dollar industry for garment makers. Eight hours at Heathrow is like two hours in my swimming pool playing with my non battery driven rubber ducks. Heat and humidity makes for strange bedfellows. Apply heat followed by an eight hour rest in humid London makes one sing, "Rain drops keep falling on my head", A very conceivable condition that will not occur down in the Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia..



Notations on relative Humidity.


Hot air holds more water than cool air. 100% relative humidity at 90 degrees drips off your face just sitting or sleeping. If that same saturated air cools down in a high humidity environment like London, Poof,  it turns into a rain shower drowning the electronics as it releases water, because air cannot hold as much water at a lower temperature, hence shorting out stuff and causing a fire. Engineers have known this for years and have balanced this occurrence for the lower humidity aircraft when making devices. Did Honeywell build its device to accommodate Boeing's higher 787 humidity threshold aircraft?

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Early Reports, Professor Plum Transponded The 787 Fire

The early report is in; Take all the thousands of Honeywell Transponders out of aircraft using this particular Honeywell part. This pronouncement suggest a broader swath of a transponder problem not tied exclusively to the 787. Any aircraft , whether it be metal or plastic needs to remove that transponder.  Boeing has a Pyrrhic victory, finally. This fire is not a testament against Boeing, but directly inferring Honeywell was the problem, even though this part is flying on thousands of aircraft.

UK investigators: Disable locator beacon on 787s


This is the Hot Link on the desert from Las Vegas, where all book makes gather to make money off the many, who see and know more than the average working Joe or Jane.

The news is developing here is a list of former suspects from an earlier post:



  • Professor Plum* A transponder offianado is questioned! No report concluded. BUSTED!!!
  • Miss Scarlet* No Longer under Consideration Since Miss Scarlett Is Lithium -Ion Free
  • Colonel Mustard*  No Longer under consideration since the Coffee Pot In The galley came Clean
  • Mr. Green*  The aircraft is so green with a low flash point; everyone nods its so Green and moves on.
  • Mrs. White*  Boeing stays clean at LHR since Scarlett has been exonerated.
  • Mrs. Peacock*  NBC news reports, enough said.
  • Lady Lavender* Once again, the ceiling lighting of lavender has not been the root cause.
  • Mrs. Meadow-Brook*  I didn't see Mrs. Meadow-Brook coming down the jet way, and she is a strong candidate.
  • Prince Azure*  If staying in the desert keeps the aircraft flying, so be it.
  • Rusty*  The maintenance geek cannot be found at this time. 
  • The Butler* The flight crew keeps insisting "It Wasn't Me", The Butler after all is English from LHR.

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

LHR Board Game "Clueless" Gives Colonel Mustard Relief Of The Galley Coffee Pot

Reuters-

WRAPUP 2-Battery in Honeywell locator eyed in 787 fire probe -source


Here are the "Clueless" cards dealt out today.

* Different type of battery than in earlier groundings

* Honeywell says no previous experience of problems

* Boeing shares recover much of what they lost Friday

* But analysts wary of any new 787 technology issue

  • Professor Plum* A transponder offianado is questioned! No report concluded.
  • Miss Scarlet* No Longer under Consideration Since Miss Scarlett Is Lithium -Ion Free
  • Colonel Mustard*  No Longer under consideration since the Coffee Pot In The galley came Clean
  • Mr. Green*  The aircraft is so green with a low flash point; everyone nods its so Green and moves on.
  • Mrs. White*  Boeing stays clean at LHR since Scarlett has been exonerated.
  • Mrs. Peacock*  NBC news reports, enough said.
  • Lady Lavender* Once again, the lighting of lavender has not been the root cause.
  • Mrs. Meadow-Brook*  I didn't see Mrs. Meadow-Brook coming down the jet way, and she is a strong candidate.
  • Prince Azure*  If staying in the desert keeps the aircraft flying, so be it.
  • Rusty*  The maintenance geek cannot be found at this time. 
  • The Butler* The flight crew keeps insisting "It Wasn't Me", The Butler after all is English from LHR.

WASHINGTON, July 15 (Reuters) - Investigators are looking into whether the fire on a Boeing 787 Dreamliner in London last week was caused by the battery of an emergency locator transmitter built by Honeywell International Inc, according to a source familiar with the probe. 

Professor Plum is on the hot seat, (no pun intended).

The Butler* Since the Butler always does it in airplane mysteries, I would consider looking at the hall tree near the rear exit more closely, right below the transponder area. If no clues can be found, then he did it out of a mystery novel tradition.

Monday, July 15, 2013

A Question About My Old Car and The 787

The "old car syndrome" is that if its 110 degrees outside you will discover your Anti Freeze is not strong, your air conditioner fails and tires blow out in parking lots before you come home from the store. If its -20 below 0 F then the old car doesn't start, the water pump seizes or is frozen shut and the battery is dead.  The common theme here is extremes, and how does a machine function under those extremes. It breaks at its weakest point and that is an old automobile at its weakest point, hot or cold. Vulnerable systems!

Now for the 787 Dreamliner and all its testing of its million parts, systems, and operational persons. What problems will emerge under the daily stresses of running an airline. You will find the weakest points under an extreme electrical system, dependent on a very robust electric architecture. These hundreds of thousands of parts are interdependent on successfully operating with each others, at points of functionality. When one acts up the other may overheat. Its not winter cold, or summer heat, but it finds the weakest link under extreme electrical use conditions, just as in an old car syndrome. It is the strong electric systems and new technology making the 787 an old airplane fast?

Honeywell has been called to London to advise and examine its transponder, located in the central burned-out area at the 787 top rear of the hull, where the fire's core burned and the transponder are both located. It is important to note this technology exist on all aircraft types, but are not necessarily run by a strong electrical systems such as Boeing has for its 787. That is an important clue in the LHR 787 fire. A robust electrical system on a Honeywell transponder is under examination. What happened if the transponder caught fire from electrical inputs; that may have shorted the device with its own Lithium Magnesium electrical storage system? Is this area encased like the main batteries? Does it have voltage regulation for spikes or anomaly current flows from the battery when the aircraft is at rest?

These are types of questions that will be looked into and answered with Honeywell shadowing the investigation. The kind of question levered out of the first events with its electrical issues, clear from the control panels to Lithium-Ion central batteries, and now further to the tail in an concentrated area with its subsystems; A Lithium-Magnesium battery supporting the transponder. Even though this battery type is already used in most aircrafts currently flying, are the safeguards in place protecting this smaller ancillary battery from 787's own electrical systems?  Even if this is a wrong assumption, then its worth a check off point to consider anyways, then move on if it isn't the problem.

Otherwise, Colonel Mustard did it with the coffee pot in the kitchen.

Sunday, July 14, 2013

Morning Cup Of Coffee With The 787

Watch A Fighter Pilot Have His Way With A Boeing 787 Dreamliner


Movie Monday with a cup of coffee, Shows How a Fighter Pilot Flies the 787 when that Pilot is given the stick in front of people at the Paris Air Show.

Rock and Roll 787

Sure, the Boeing 787 Dreamliner catches fireA lot. But what would happen if an ex-F18 Super Hornet pilot took the controls? Only the most awesome display of giant aerial manoeuvring ever is what.
F-18 Super Hornet display pilot, Mike Bryan, got behind the controls of the troubled Boeing 787 Dreamliner at the Farnborough Air show recently and put the plastic plane through its paces.
It’s a massive plane, but you wouldn’t know it weighs anything at all watching the incredible Bryan work his aerial magic.

Saturday, July 13, 2013

787 Ethiopian Fire Is Narrowing Focus

Investigators call Ethiopian Boeing 787 fire “serious incident” but no evidence of battery link


After consulting a plethora of reliable new sources concerning the the Ethiopian 787 Fire at London Heathrow Airport, I will try to sense the direction of this event:

  • Harmful Blow To Boeing's Long Standing Effort, of ascending past a new aircraft problem period.
  • Spot Fire intense, did not spread, and hull is saved.
  • Fire started after aircraft was parked at a stationary location.
  • Confidence from traveling public undermined.
  • Cause of fire will be determined sooner rather than later.
  • System analysis and system indicators may pinpoint causal spot location.
  • No more problems from 787, a requirement for its success of an aircraft on the ropes.
  • 787 downgraded from "will" to "may" succeed status.
  • Two Boeing catastrophic events in one week, The Asiana 777-200 and Ethiopian 787-8
Below is a Plus Read from the WSJ: 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And after today's fire in London:

EUROPE BUSINESS NEWS Updated July 12, 2013, 5:00 p.m. ET
Boeing 787 Dreamliner Catches Fire in London
No Passengers on Jet at Heathrow Airport; Cause of Fire Not Yet Known
By CASSELL BRYAN-LOW, JON OSTROWER and DANIEL MICHAELS

Emergency vehicles outside an Ethiopian Airlines 787 that caught fire at Heathrow Airport on Friday. Far side of the plane was damaged.

An unoccupied Ethiopian Airlines 787 Dreamliner caught fire while parked at London's Heathrow Airport, reprising worries over the Boeing Co. flagship jet three months after it resolved battery problems that had grounded it worldwide.

Emergency crews were called about 4:30 p.m. local time on Friday and soon extinguished the blaze. No one was injured in the incident, which prompted airport authorities to halt flights for more than an hour at Heathrow, the world's busiest international airport. Broadcast images showed that the fire, which authorities said started inside the plane, burned through a portion of the carbon-fiber skin on the top of the jet near the tail.

Officials had yet to determine the cause of the fire Friday evening. There was no indication that it was directly related to the Dreamliner's lithium-ion batteries, which are housed farther toward the front of the plane. Overheating of those batteries triggered burning on two 787s in mid-January that caused regulators to ground the jetliner.

Boeing developed a system to contain fire risk at the batteries, which the Federal Aviation Administration approved, enabling flights to resume in late April. Boeing's business has since been soaring, with deliveries in the latest quarter hitting their highest number in 15 years, including 17 new 787s. Boeing has delivered a total of 68 Dreamliners to 13 airlines around the world.

The incident hit Boeing shares, which had risen by more than 40% this year through Thursday despite the battery problems, knocking them as much as 7.4% lower before ending the day down 4.7% at $101.87 in Friday trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

Other airlines continued to fly their Dreamliners in the hours after the fire. A spokeswoman for United Continental Holdings Inc., which operates six 787s and is the only U.S. carrier to fly the plane, said it wouldn't speculated on the cause of Friday's fire "but will monitor the findings."

All Nippon Airways, a unit of ANA Holdings Inc. and the jet's largest operator, said its 20 787s are operating normally. A spokeswoman said the carrier was "still trying to figure out what happened" in the Heathrow incident.

The Dreamliner had been parked at Heathrow for roughly eight hours before the fire was detected, Ethiopian Airlines said. While attention is focused on the plane's systems, it is possible something else caused the blaze. Fires occur on parked planes about once every five years, said Paul Hayes, director of air safety at Ascend, a British aviation consulting firm. Causes have included short-circuits in lavatory electrical sockets, a rag left in a galley oven, and cigarettes. Mr. Hayes said several incidents were suspected to have started after a cleaner or ground worker furtively smoked on a parked plane and then failed to fully extinguish the cigarette.

In a statement released shortly after the incident, Boeing said it had "personnel on the ground at Heathrow and [we] are working to fully understand and address this." Ethiopian Airlines said "the cause of the incident is under investigation by all concerned."

The U.K. Air Accident Investigation Branch sent a team to investigate. The U.S. National Transportation Safety Board said it was sending an expert to the scene, and the Federal Aviation Administration said it would also send an official "in support of the NTSB."

As early reports and images of the fire streamed in, several industry and government safety experts said they were struck by its apparent intensity. The incident is likely to generate additional questions and discussion about the flame-resistant qualities of the composite materials that form most of the jet.

Television footage of the 787 at Heathrow showed damage to the top of the jet's body near the passenger doors at the rear of the 787. That area of the aircraft typically houses the crew rest compartment, but two people familiar with the jet's layout say that Ethiopian's 787's likely do not have this overhead bunk. The 787's twin lithium-ion batteries are installed below the floor in electrical bays near the nose and between the wings of the aircraft underneath the cabin, far from the damaged area visible in the footage.

The safety experts said that where the flames seemingly exited also isn't near the location of the auxiliary power unit or certain electrical panels that have been involved in previous onboard incidents. If the fire originated in any of those areas or the battery compartments—all located in the lower part of the fuselage—the flames either burned through the floor or crept up inside the skin of the 787. Emergency crews and investigators should be able to pinpoint the origin shortly, these experts said.

One person familiar with the preliminary information the airline conveyed to Boeing and its suppliers said there were no obvious patterns of battery problems or malfunctions on the Ethiopian 787.

Dreamliners also have suffered a spate of smaller technical glitches that have forced airline operators to delay and cancel numerous flights. Those types of issues aren't necessarily uncommon for a new jetliner like the Dreamliner, which first began carrying passengers in 2011. However, a fire aboard an aircraft is a considerably more serious event and is likely to be evaluated separately from the jet's teething issues.

In a separate incident on Friday, another 787 aircraft suffered problems Friday when a Thomson Airways flight was grounded because of "technical issues," a spokesman for the airline said. The flight had taken off from U.K.'s Manchester airport and was headed to Florida's Orlando Sanford International Airport, but had to return to Manchester "as a precautionary measure," the spokesman said.

The aircraft, which can carry some 290 passengers, was near capacity. There were no injuries and passengers disembarked. Engineers were inspecting the plane, the spokesman said.

United has been bedeviled by "several" flight cancellations due to a variety of issues involving the aircraft since the model was allowed to resume operations in late April—although the frequency of the problems has diminished recently, the United spokeswoman said. The latest was on Tuesday when a flight from London to Houston was scratched after pilots saw a message indicating that something was wrong with the plane. After mechanics checked and found the message was false, the crew had "timed out" and wasn't allowed to fly, the company said.

Ethiopian Airlines, one of Africa's oldest and fastest-growing carriers, was the first airline to reintroduce the 787 in late-April after the jet's 3½ month grounding. The airline took delivery of its first 787 in August 2012, and currently operates four of the long-haul aircraft in its fleet.

Robert Stallard, an analyst for RBC Capital Markets, said in a note after the fire that "any issues with the aircraft will likely face heightened scrutiny" given the battery problems. But he noted that during the 787's grounding, production remained on schedule and Boeing's shares held up. "We could see a similar situation this time around," he wrote, recommending investors buy shares on Friday's drop.

—Andy Pasztor, Marietta Cauchi and Susan Carey contributed to this article.
Write to Cassell Bryan-Low at cassell.bryan-low@wsj.com and Jon Ostrower at jon.ostrower@wsj.com

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Phew, that is too many cursory hints as to "what's up with that", when it comes to the 787 problems. I do think with so little information known,  only blanket assumptions can be stated, erroring on the modest side, until someone steps forward with a "Press Bull". With that being said, I would jump in with this comment with no backing of facts. Fire is the ultimate by-product of some non compliant incident, as today's aircraft manufacturers spend inordinate amount of resources preventing a fire event. Statistic show far and few between incidences, like one every five years from operations activities amongst passengers, maintenance, and systems failures that would cause a fire. This incident becomes disturbing, because the few 787's flying have had several fires already.

Statistically, this is probably a systems caused fire. Not good news, from the bridge too far team. The billion dollar question: Will the 787 become grounded on the rocks again until a resolution is installed, if it is a system problem, or will some maintenance guy get fired for a cigarette butt in the trash can? 

I don't see a Boeing PR Team yet on the Horizon of the press pages. I assume they are deeply imbedded at London Heathrow general area mopping up and putting out any press fires at this time. By next week-end there should be some sort of discovery statement issued forth, and Boeing will have a concise mea culpa with a full sward available if needed. Until then, it would be best to watch the wires on this incident because it is just as important as the exploding battery story last January. The 787 is bumping and grinding its way into History, as possibly the best airplane ever built at this time. A brutal way to get recognition and attention with world travelers. The new technology penalty is enforcing its will on the ground around the world, and not in the air.

Addendum Speculation: All Things 787 goes to the Board Game "Clue" With This Statement

"The aircraft fire is unrelated to the batteries. This will be confirmed tomorrow in a boeing press conference. Fire is strongly believed to be as a result of galley overheat - failure of coffee heater trip switch which was left on.Burnt out much of the galley and area above causing deep damage to aft bh and rudder/elevator system. Aircraft sadly a write off - unless pride of hull loss/p.r dictates repair even if economically un-viable."

Colonel Mustard killed "Miss Scarlet Hot" with  a coffee pot in the Galley". No rope, pipe, knife, candlestick or gun, just a hot pot.

Don't go to sleep on me yet, I have a story to tell from my youth. I once ran a small convenience store to put me through the University's Business School. I ran four coffee pot burners for people who suffered from sleep deprivation while studying for finals week in school.  Often was the case in multi tasked situations, the coffee pot negligence situation would occur, when customers stopped coming in at four in the morning just before the delivery trucks drivers started stopping in at 5:00 am.  What happens between 4:00 am to 5:00 am stays in the store. That is to say the last dredges would summarily burn up from neglect.  But I was there to smell it and take care of it. I could see that happening on an airplane in a galley if unattended for 8 hours. However, the galley should auto shut down when the last crew member checks out. Really sloppy operation if no one is assigned to shut down all appliances before the next crew comes on shift. Unless a maintenance crew member came on to service, brew a pot, and then left it on until it caught fire. A simple thing can cost the airlines, when its crews service crews or flight crews operate new appliances, like brewing and leaving the coffee pot unattended after a brief visit of cleaning and servicing on a parked aircraft during layover. Its new and why not enjoy the spoils of a new aircraft while on the job.

Friday, July 12, 2013

Donald Trump Proclaims: "You Are On Fire, 787" @ LHR!

Boeing 787 Dreamliner Catches Fire in London


Jon Ostrower and—Daniel Michaels, Andy Pasztor and Duncan Mavin contributed to this article above.

Please refer to Title Link for a complete preliminary report from the WSJ.

Once again the 787 has promulgated another fire incident report for the Head scratchers at London Heathrow Airport on an Ethiopian 787 parked empty. This "engine is off" event is difficult to report about, only speculative commentary is being accepted at this time by the world's press inferring in a continuous stream of relevance through talking about a battery from the last fire tying it to this fire. Fortunately, a recurring fire symptom happens most often on the 787, when it is on the ground and empty of passengers. The early facts will quickly suggest an area of investigation. Where on the 787 the fire happen, what happen, and when did it happen? Investigations don't drive the newspaper, but a vacuum of detail are awaiting the evening news. Once that vacuum is filled with the dirt, then a proper investigation and news headline can be written.  Right now its a stock market headline, not a passenger headline. What is disturbing is the recurrence of the word "fire", at one of the world's foremost airports, London Heathrow.


Image showing the fire damage to the Ethiopian 787 via Sky News
This is severe damage to to the CFRP structure above the crews rest quarters and galley area. The investigators have the hot spot to decipher.

Boeing is in need of a break, because they cannot manufacture any more headlines assisting the Dreamliner, without flying an aircraft that could be grounded very soon, and once again! Unless they (investigators) come up with a plausible cause for fire that could of happen on any aircraft parked at an airport. Boeing needs a third party cause for fire at London Heathrow, like a cigarette butt in the garbage, or a kitchen fire that lights up a galley or in the bathroom long after the customers unload. I don't think that will happen since the press is eager for headlines. Boeing you are guilty again by association of another fire on another 787. I hope and pray this does not become another Hindenburg catastrophe at some point in the future. Oh, Stay away from docking mast in New Jersey, "787"! Lessons have been learned, and are still being learned as the aircraft is used. One can speculate, but no one for certain knows what is going on with the 787 problems experienced by its customers. All anyone can sense is that Boeing needs to get its arms around the problems instead of the usual PR responses. 

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Everett is Up 5-2 over Charleston In The Early Innings

I know its summer and sounds like baseball is on the menu, but this is a real serious score and it may expand by world series time in October, with the Everett Sea Hawks currently schil lacking the Charleston Low Country Boys of summer by putting out 5 787 a month over charlestons 1.5 units a month in the early innings of production. It is a long season, and Everett has been doing this for a long time with a variety of wide body aircraft. They have the advantage of tens years rolling up production to this point where Charleston didn't even have a building a just a few short years ago. Not only that, Boeing came in and consolidated the fabrication of barrels and other parts from former Italian interest to save program continuity. Boeing now does those critical pieces in house, before handing it over the Low Country production team. Yes, Charleston was a AAA squad until September 15,2012.

Then  they entered the big leagues with an Air India halting delivery.  Promises were made, "that by next year, in the summer of 2013, they would be whipping out 3 units a months."  Much to the Charleston planning shagrin, the Battery blew up those aspirations  in short order, and had to change battle plans until the all clear from the FAA screamed. "Play Ball". The Everett team with its built-in infrastructure and resources sand bagged it, by keeping its three lines churning and filling the parking lot with engineless 787's at the airplane mall parking lot outside doors 40-24 and 40-26, until Paine Field had to be rezoned as a parking garage instead of an airport. The spigot is turned back on with its new battery cases and plan B technology, and Charleston finds itself down by a score of 5-2 units per months. I would correctly say 1.5 units a month from Charleston but that is scab picking.  Excuse me for saying scab picking, it was not intended to rile any angst in the late inning for any team. But picking scabs is not productive or polite in mixed company.

Finally, the board of directors, in its all wise  decision making, thought Charleston would wipe Everett Smug smile and put feet into the fire to infinity and beyond. However, all good plans need a disaster to instill humility to make any idea good. Everett is doing a first class effort, even sending some of best players to Charleston so they can make the Boeing Dream come true. The Board couldn't of planned it better if they tried.  The Everett A Team is still the A Team. The fire was not held under its feet, instead Charleston is still trying to show up at the Ball Park, and seeking to build a boatload of engineless airplanes like Everett, parked at its facilities.





Charleston Score Card Below

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Air New Zealand Stands In Line Waiting For The World Beater -9



Air New Zealand can't be thrilled by China Southern's invasion of 787-8's arriving in New Zealand very soon.  Boatloads (Airplane Loads) of Chinese visitors will make the New Zealand commerce cheer for more visitors, but not on a Air New Zealand 787-9. The Chinese 787-8 could carry up to 291 passengers as Thomson Air in Great britain has demonstrated, but won't as it has designed its seating plan addressing a cross section of customers needs through out its network of destinations and set it at 228.

New Zealand Air is in the process of having to watch every day over the next six months for its own 787-9 which will hold more customers and fly farther than the -8. Below is the 787 competition in the region. Southern and Hainan are both expanding its wings with the new 787 equipment.




The New Zealand-9 is now currently developing into a test copy for the -9 program in Everett, Wa.


China Southern and Hainan can only go so many places with its orders, New Zealand Air will focus efforts on replacing equipment and solidifying its market foot print. The Chinese will offer seasonal concentrations where NZA will focus on long legged repeated routes for year around travel.  Airbus hopes to squeeze in with its customers, which will make New Zealand retailers happy during peak travel seasons. By the time the A350 arrives it will be old news for Boeing.